

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 59.89%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 18.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Fortuna Sittard | 
| 59.89% (  -0.32) | 21.95% (  0.11) | 18.15% (  0.21) | 
| Both teams to score 51.86% (  0.06) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 54.07% (  -0.13) | 45.93% (  0.13) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 31.76% (  -0.12) | 68.24% (  0.12) | 
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 85.07% (  -0.14) | 14.92% (  0.14) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.68% (  -0.27) | 43.31% (  0.27) | 
| Fortuna Sittard Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 60.96% (  0.17) | 39.04% (  -0.17) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.24% (  0.16) | 75.76% (  -0.16) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Fortuna Sittard | 
| 1-0 @ 11.08% (  0.01) 2-0 @ 10.54% (  -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.92% (  -0) 3-0 @ 6.68% (  -0.07) 3-1 @ 6.29% (  -0.03) 4-0 @ 3.18% (  -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.99% (  -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.96% (  -0) 4-2 @ 1.41% (  -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.21% (  -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.14% (  -0.02) Other @ 2.51% Total : 59.89% | 1-1 @ 10.42% (  0.05) 0-0 @ 5.83% (  0.03) 2-2 @ 4.66% (  0.02) 3-3 @ 0.93% (  0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.95% | 0-1 @ 5.48% (  0.05) 1-2 @ 4.9% (  0.05) 0-2 @ 2.58% (  0.04) 1-3 @ 1.54% (  0.02) 2-3 @ 1.46% (  0.01) Other @ 2.19% Total : 18.15% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 59 | 7 | 52 | 51 | 
| 2 | Feyenoord | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 14 | 34 | 38 | 
| 3 | FC Twente | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 37 | 
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 36 | 16 | 20 | 33 | 
| 5 | Ajax | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 25 | 
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 25 | 
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 23 | 
| 8 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 21 | 
| 9 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 20 | 
| 10 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 19 | 
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 19 | 
| 12 | Heracles | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 18 | 
| 13 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 17 | 
| 14 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 17 | 
| 15 | Almere CityAlmere City | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 16 | 
| 16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 14 | 
| 17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 18 | 40 | -22 | 11 | 
| 18 | Vitesse | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 11 | 
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
