Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 74.8%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for NEC had a probability of 9.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.54%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.21%), while for a NEC win it was 1-2 (2.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Feyenoord in this match.
| Result | ||
| Feyenoord | Draw | NEC |
| 74.8% ( | 15.4% ( | 9.8% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.37% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.25% ( | 34.75% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.29% ( | 56.71% ( |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.15% ( | 7.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 72.18% ( | 27.82% ( |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.75% ( | 44.25% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 19.67% ( | 80.33% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Feyenoord | Draw | NEC |
| 2-0 @ 11.24% ( 3-0 @ 9.54% ( 2-1 @ 9.17% ( 1-0 @ 8.84% ( 3-1 @ 7.78% ( 4-0 @ 6.07% ( 4-1 @ 4.95% ( 3-2 @ 3.17% ( 5-0 @ 3.09% ( 5-1 @ 2.52% ( 4-2 @ 2.02% ( 6-0 @ 1.31% ( 6-1 @ 1.07% ( 5-2 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 3.01% Total : 74.79% | 1-1 @ 7.21% ( 2-2 @ 3.74% ( 0-0 @ 3.47% ( Other @ 0.98% Total : 15.4% | 1-2 @ 2.94% ( 0-1 @ 2.83% ( 0-2 @ 1.15% ( 2-3 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 1.86% Total : 9.8% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 59 | 7 | 52 | 51 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 50 | 16 | 34 | 39 |
| 3 | FC Twente | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 37 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 36 | 16 | 20 | 33 |
| 5 | Ajax | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 38 | 32 | 6 | 28 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 25 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 23 |
| 8 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 22 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 20 |
| 10 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 19 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 19 |
| 12 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 19 |
| 13 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 18 |
| 14 | Heracles | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 18 |
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 17 |
| 16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 14 |
| 17 | Vitesse | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
| 18 | FC VolendamVolendam | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 11 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
