Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 67.68%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Ceuta had a probability of 12.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.73%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a Ceuta win it was 1-0 (4.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.