Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 45.4%. A win for Everton had a probability of 29.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.24%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Everton win was 1-0 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.