

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 49.92%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 23.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.76%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion win it was 0-1 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Everton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Everton | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
| 49.92% | 26.22% | 23.86% |
| Both teams to score 47.16% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.73% | 56.26% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.69% | 77.3% |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.4% | 22.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.78% | 56.21% |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.93% | 39.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.22% | 75.78% |
| Score Analysis |
| Everton | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
| 1-0 @ 13.13% 2-0 @ 9.76% 2-1 @ 9.18% 3-0 @ 4.84% 3-1 @ 4.55% 3-2 @ 2.14% 4-0 @ 1.8% 4-1 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.84% Total : 49.92% | 1-1 @ 12.34% 0-0 @ 8.83% 2-2 @ 4.31% Other @ 0.73% Total : 26.21% | 0-1 @ 8.3% 1-2 @ 5.8% 0-2 @ 3.9% 1-3 @ 1.82% 2-3 @ 1.35% 0-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.47% Total : 23.86% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Manchester CityMan City | 34 | 26 | 4 | 4 | 89 | 31 | 58 | 82 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 35 | 25 | 6 | 4 | 83 | 39 | 44 | 81 |
| 3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 61 | 29 | 32 | 65 |
| 4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 41 | 8 | 63 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 67 | 42 | 25 | 62 |
| 6 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 35 | 17 | 6 | 12 | 64 | 57 | 7 | 57 |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 63 | 45 | 18 | 55 |
| 8 | Aston Villa | 35 | 16 | 6 | 13 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 54 |
| 9 | Brentford | 35 | 12 | 14 | 9 | 52 | 45 | 7 | 50 |
| 10 | Fulham | 35 | 14 | 6 | 15 | 50 | 49 | 1 | 48 |
| 11 | Chelsea | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 42 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 40 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 30 | 50 | -20 | 40 |
| 14 | Bournemouth | 35 | 11 | 6 | 18 | 37 | 67 | -30 | 39 |
| 15 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 37 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 35 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 34 | 65 | -31 | 33 |
| 17 | Everton | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 32 |
| 18 | Leicester CityLeicester | 35 | 8 | 6 | 21 | 49 | 64 | -15 | 30 |
| 19 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 30 |
| 20 | Southampton | 35 | 6 | 6 | 23 | 31 | 64 | -33 | 24 |
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