Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 53.9%. A win for West Ham United had a probability of 23.53% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest West Ham United win was 1-2 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Everton would win this match.