EFL Cup | Third Round
Nov 9, 2022 at 8pm UK
Anfield
Liverpool
0 - 0
Derby
FT
Liverpool win 2-2 on penalties
The Match
Match Report
Liverpool squeezed past Derby County 2-1 on penalties after a 0-0 draw in normal time at Anfield, with the Reds ensuring that their EFL Cup defence lives on for another round.
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Liverpool and Derby County.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Liverpool and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Liverpool could line up for Wednesday's EFL Cup third-round clash with Derby County.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up Liverpool's injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's EFL Cup clash with Derby County.
More game data and we say below the videos
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Spurs 1-2 Liverpool
Sunday, November 6 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Sunday, November 6 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Torquay Utd 2-2 Derby
Sunday, November 6 at 3pm in FA Cup
Sunday, November 6 at 3pm in FA Cup
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 69.14%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 13.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 1-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.32%), while for a Derby County win it was 1-2 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Derby County |
69.14% ( -0.14) | 17.82% ( 0.1) | 13.04% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 53.78% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
