Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League
for
We said: Derby County 2-0 Torquay United
Torquay impressed when the two sides locked horns last time out, but we are finding it really difficult to predict a shock result in this match. Derby will be determined to avoid another uncomfortable affair, and we are expecting this to be a relatively straightforward contest for the League One side. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 76.09%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Torquay United had a probability of 8.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.07%) and 1-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.06%), while for a Torquay United win it was 0-1 (2.76%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Torquay United |
76.09% ( 0.04) | 14.97% ( -0.02) | 8.93% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 49.22% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
