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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 38.58%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 37.41% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.22%) and 0-2 (5.58%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Portsmouth | 
| 37.41% (  -0.02) | 24.01% (  -0) | 38.58% (  0.03) | 
| Both teams to score 61.44% (  0.02) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 59.09% (  0.02) | 40.91% (  -0.02) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 36.7% (  0.02) | 63.3% (  -0.02) | 
| Plymouth Argyle Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 78.09% (  -0) | 21.91% (  0) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.83% (  -0) | 55.17% (  0.01) | 
| Portsmouth Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 78.67% (  0.03) | 21.33% (  -0.02) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.72% (  0.04) | 54.29% (  -0.03) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Portsmouth | 
| 2-1 @ 8.32% (  -0) 1-0 @ 7.1% (  -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.39% (  -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.21% (  -0) 3-2 @ 3.25% (  0) 3-0 @ 2.73% (  -0) 4-1 @ 1.6% (  -0) 4-2 @ 1.24% 4-0 @ 1.04% (  -0) Other @ 2.55% Total : 37.41% | 1-1 @ 10.96% 2-2 @ 6.43% (  0) 0-0 @ 4.67% (  -0) 3-3 @ 1.68% (  0) Other @ 0.27% Total : 24.01% | 1-2 @ 8.47% (  0) 0-1 @ 7.22% (  -0) 0-2 @ 5.58% (  0) 1-3 @ 4.36% (  0) 2-3 @ 3.31% (  0) 0-3 @ 2.87% (  0) 1-4 @ 1.69% (  0) 2-4 @ 1.28% (  0) 0-4 @ 1.11% (  0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 38.58% |