Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-0 Burnley
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 3-1 Luton
Friday, September 27 at 8pm in Championship
Friday, September 27 at 8pm in Championship
We said: Burnley 1-1 Plymouth Argyle
Burnley have not replicated their toothless away-day displays at Turf Moor, but Plymouth have also not been able to buy a win away from home in recent months and have failed to score in each of their last four losses on rival turf. However, the visitors are evidently growing in confidence under Rooney and have our backing to take a hard-earned point away from Lancashire. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 58.15%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 20.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.38%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 1-2 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Burnley | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
58.15% ( -0.73) | 21.61% ( 0.17) | 20.23% ( 0.56) |
| Both teams to score 56.67% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
