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Championship | Gameweek 30
Feb 1, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Vicarage Road
Norwich logo

Watford
0 - 1
Norwich


Louza (40'), Andrews (77'), Sissoko (89')
Issouf Bayo (35')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sargent (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Watford and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coventry 2-1 Watford
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 5-1 Swansea
Saturday, January 25 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Watford 2-2 Norwich City

While Norwich may have eased to all three points in their recent home game against Swansea, they have found wins much harder to come by on their travels, and with that in mind, we think that they will have to settle for a point despite the fact that Watford may be low on confidence following a poor run of form. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 48.88%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 25.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
WatfordDrawNorwich City
48.88% (0.26 0.26) 25.19% (0.009999999999998 0.01) 25.92% (-0.269 -0.27)
Both teams to score 52.1% (-0.268 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.23% (-0.239 -0.24)50.77% (0.24 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.34% (-0.211 -0.21)72.66% (0.211 0.21)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.21% (0.015000000000001 0.02)20.79% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.56% (0.021000000000001 0.02)53.44% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.77% (-0.351 -0.35)34.22% (0.349 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.08% (-0.376 -0.38)70.92% (0.376 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Watford 48.88%
    Norwich City 25.92%
    Draw 25.19%
WatfordDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 11.17% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.41% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.78% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.93% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.6% (0.049 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.64% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.81% (0.02 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 48.88%
1-1 @ 11.98% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.11% (0.068 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.05% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.19%
0-1 @ 7.63% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 6.42% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-2 @ 4.09% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.3% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.46% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 25.92%

How you voted: Watford vs Norwich

Watford
37.9%
Draw
24.1%
Norwich City
37.9%
29
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 6
Norwich
4-1
Watford
Doyle (3'), Sainz (45+3'), Nunez (54'), Chrisene (89')
Fisher (74'), Chrisene (90+1')
Andrews (26')
Jebbison (36')
Feb 13, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Norwich
4-2
Watford
Barnes (20'), Sargent (28'), Sara (77'), Fassnacht (82')
Barnes (17'), Sargent (30'), Gibbs (88')
Rajovic (42'), Asprilla (71')
Martins (45+1'), Porteous (79')
Nov 28, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 18
Watford
3-2
Norwich
Kone (30'), Rajovic (33'), Asprilla (77')
Livermore (18')
Batth (3'), Ui-jo (12')
Stacey (35'), Duffy (64'), Sainz (90+4'), Giannoulis (90+4')
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Oct 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Watford
2-1
Norwich
Louza (18'), Davis (31')
Sargent (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
4Sunderland4621131258441476
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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