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Championship | Gameweek 29
Jan 25, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Carrow Road
Swansea logo

Norwich
5 - 1
Swansea

Sargent (44', 63'), Dobbin (76'), Crnac (84'), Marcondes (87')
Schwartau (53'), Marcondes (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Cullen (62')
Fulton (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 2-0 Norwich
Wednesday, January 22 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 1-2 Sheff Utd
Tuesday, January 21 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 1-0 Swansea City

Both sides have endured difficult times in recent weeks, but we are going with the hosts to take the three points this weekend. Norwich have a good record at home, and the Swans have lost four on the bounce away from home, so we expect the hosts to taste success here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawSwansea City
44.06% (0.69600000000001 0.7) 24.69% (0.042999999999999 0.04) 31.24% (-0.741 -0.74)
Both teams to score 57.36% (-0.485 -0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.46% (-0.49 -0.49)45.54% (0.489 0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.13% (-0.467 -0.47)67.87% (0.46599999999999 0.47)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.25% (0.108 0.11)20.75% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.62% (0.17 0.17)53.38% (-0.172 -0.17)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.38% (-0.712 -0.71)27.62% (0.711 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.84% (-0.927 -0.93)63.16% (0.926 0.93)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 44.06%
    Swansea City 31.24%
    Draw 24.69%
Norwich CityDrawSwansea City
2-1 @ 9.12% (0.068 0.07)
1-0 @ 9.01% (0.216 0.22)
2-0 @ 7.09% (0.193 0.19)
3-1 @ 4.78% (0.052 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.72% (0.113 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.08% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.88% (0.027 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.46% (0.049 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 44.06%
1-1 @ 11.59% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.87% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-0 @ 5.73% (0.118 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.69%
1-2 @ 7.46% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-1 @ 7.37% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.74% (-0.093 -0.09)
1-3 @ 3.2% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.52% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2.03% (-0.082 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 31.24%

How you voted: Norwich vs Swansea

Norwich City
73.0%
Draw
13.5%
Swansea City
13.5%
37
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 5
Swansea
1-0
Norwich
Forson (4' og.)
Darling (53'), Key (88')

Nunez (45+1'), McLean (48'), Duffy (67')
Apr 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 45
Norwich
2-2
Swansea
Sara (34'), Sargent (45+3')
Gunn (53'), McCallum (77'), McLean (90')
Paterson (24'), Grimes (53' pen.)
Paterson (45'), Cullen (57')
Oct 4, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Swansea
2-1
Norwich
Lowe (3'), Humphreys (83')
Lowe (48'), Key (52'), Cullen (55'), Cooper (76')
Sara (22')
Gibson (18'), Rowe (61')
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 44
Norwich
0-3
Swansea
Latibeaudiere (23'), Cullen (39'), Ntcham (64')
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 22
Swansea
0-1
Norwich
Pukki (1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
4Sunderland4621131258441476
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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