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Championship | Gameweek 35
Mar 1, 2025 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Watford logo

Stoke
0 - 0
Watford


Pearson (33')
FT

Louza (33'), Chakvetadze (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 1-3 Middlesbrough
Tuesday, February 25 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 2-0 Luton
Sunday, February 23 at 12pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-1 Watford

Stoke may have experienced disappointment in their midweek outing against Middlesbrough, but they did put together a four-game unbeaten home league run prior to that defeat, and we think that the Potters will do enough to take a point off Watford in Saturday's home clash. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Stoke City win with a probability of 43.77%. A win for Watford has a probability of 31.12% and a draw has a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Watford win is 0-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.86%).

Result
Stoke CityDrawWatford
43.77% (0.117 0.12) 25.11% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02) 31.12% (-0.102 -0.1)
Both teams to score 55.9% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.57% (0.027000000000001 0.03)47.43% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.35% (0.026 0.03)69.65% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.33% (0.066000000000003 0.07)21.67% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.19% (0.101 0.1)54.81% (-0.102 -0.1)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.36% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)28.64% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.55% (-0.067 -0.07)64.45% (0.066999999999993 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 43.77%
    Watford 31.12%
    Draw 25.1%
Stoke CityDrawWatford
1-0 @ 9.49% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.07% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.26% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.63% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.7% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.89% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.77% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.41% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.11% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 43.77%
1-1 @ 11.86% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.21% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.67% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.1%
0-1 @ 7.76% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.42% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.85% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.09% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.02% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.97% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 31.12%

How you voted: Stoke vs Watford

Stoke City
28.9%
Draw
21.1%
Watford
50.0%
38
Head to Head
Aug 17, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 2
Watford
3-0
Stoke
Kayembe (47', 73'), Andrews (49')
Issouf Bayo (31'), Sierralta (88')

Thompson (55'), Laurent (90')
Dec 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Watford
1-1
Stoke
Livermore (15')
Ismael (15'), Kone (42'), Livermore (45+4'), Chakvetadze (72'), Morris (80')
Issouf Bayo (52')
Mmaee (34')
Tchamadeu (14')
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 3
Stoke
1-0
Watford
Vidigal (53')
McNally (29'), Wesley (52'), Thompson (77'), Johnson (83')

Kone (60')
May 8, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 46
Watford
2-0
Stoke
Louza (70'), Davis (74')
Oct 2, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 12
Stoke
0-4
Watford
Sarr (12'), Sema (64'), Davis (78'), Issouf Bayo (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
4Sunderland4621131258441476
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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