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Championship | Gameweek 37
Mar 12, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
KCOM Stadium
Oxford United

Hull City
2 - 1
Oxford Utd

Gelhardt (73'), Cumming (76' og.)
Gelhardt (45+2'), Hughes (80'), Puerta (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Helik (66')
Brown (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Hull City and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol City 1-1 Hull City
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 1-1 Oxford Utd
Friday, March 7 at 8pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 58.49%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 17.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.16%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (6.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hull City would win this match.

Result
Hull CityDrawOxford United
58.49% (0.468 0.47)24.34% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)17.18% (-0.394 -0.39)
Both teams to score 43.18% (-0.483 -0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.38% (-0.259 -0.26)56.62% (0.258 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.41% (-0.21 -0.21)77.59% (0.208 0.21)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.77% (0.077000000000012 0.08)19.23% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.06% (0.13 0.13)50.94% (-0.131 -0.13)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.47% (-0.65 -0.65)46.53% (0.648 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.87% (-0.501 -0.5)82.13% (0.499 0.5)
Score Analysis
    Hull City 58.48%
    Oxford United 17.18%
    Draw 24.33%
Hull CityDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 14.75% (0.18 0.18)
2-0 @ 12.16% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 6.68% (0.116 0.12)
3-1 @ 5.11% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-0 @ 2.75% (0.054 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.11% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.96% (-0.038 -0.04)
5-0 @ 0.91% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 58.48%
1-1 @ 11.28% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 8.95% (0.087999999999999 0.09)
2-2 @ 3.56% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 24.33%
0-1 @ 6.85% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
1-2 @ 4.32% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-2 @ 2.62% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.1% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-3 @ 0.91% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 17.18%

How you voted: Hull City vs Oxford Utd

Hull City
57.9%
Draw
19.7%
Oxford United
22.4%
76
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Oxford Utd
1-0
Hull City
Ter Avest (55')
Brown (50'), Moore (58')

Hughes (90')
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 36
Hull City
2-0
Oxford Utd
Lewis-Potter (22', 71')
Docherty (40')
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 16
Oxford Utd
1-1
Hull City
Henry (10')
Rodriguez (38'), Obita (56'), McGuane (63'), Agyei (90')
Docherty (68')
Jul 15, 2017 6.30pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Hull City
1-2
Oxford Utd
Diomande (75')
Thomas (32', 52')