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Championship header 2

League Two
Crewe Alexandra
League Two | Gameweek 16
Nov 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Notts County

Crewe
2 - 0
Notts County

Tracey (40'), Cooney (62' pen.)
Holicek (57'), Cooney (64'), Williams (67'), Marshall (71'), Sanders (75'), Tracey (80')
Long (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bedeau (3'), Maynard (4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Notts County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Walsall 1-1 Crewe
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League Two

Notts County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Notts County 1-0 Leicester U21s
Tuesday, November 12 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Crewe Alexandra 1-2 Notts County

 Nott County have proven to be resilient away from home in recent games, and it is difficult to see how they lose on Saturday. Additionally, while Crewe have the same defensive record as their opponents, their inferior offensive record may make them slight underdogs this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 31.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crewe Alexandra would win this match.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawNotts County
44.05% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 24.23% (0.0019999999999989 0) 31.72% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 59.19% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)43.25% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)65.65% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)19.81% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)51.87% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.8% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)26.19% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.71% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)61.29% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 44.05%
    Notts County 31.72%
    Draw 24.23%
Crewe AlexandraDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 9.11% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.4% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 6.8% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.92% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 3.67% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.29%
4-1 @ 1.99%
4-0 @ 1.49% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.33% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 44.05%
1-1 @ 11.25%
2-2 @ 6.1% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 5.19%
3-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.23%
1-2 @ 7.54% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 6.95% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.66% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.37% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.73% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.08% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 1.13%
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 31.72%

How you voted: Crewe vs Notts County

Crewe Alexandra
35.3%
Draw
28.2%
Notts County
36.5%
85
Head to Head
Feb 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 35
Notts County
1-3
Crewe
O'Brien (83')
Ashby-Hammond (18'), Bostock (53'), Langstaff (81'), Jatta (90')
Demetriou (5'), Nevitt (19' pen.), Austerfield (77')
Kirk (27'), Demetriou (53'), Turns (81'), Adebisi (88')
Nov 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 17
Crewe
1-0
Notts County
Baker-Richardson (90+8' pen.)
Offord (14'), Cooney (90+1')

Cameron (45+1'), Baldwin (50'), O'Brien (70'), Jones (88'), Randall (89')
Apr 13, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 42
Crewe
3-0
Notts County
Taylor-Sinclair (31'), Wintle (77'), Jones (83')

Hemmings (43'), O'Brien (85')
Sep 29, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 10
Notts County
2-1
Crewe
Milsom (5'), Hewitt (61')
Milsom (33')
Bowery (14')
Feb 3, 2018 3pm
Notts County
4-1
Crewe
Husin (15'), Hewitt (41', 60'), Bennett (89')
Husin (65')
Miller (8')
Nolan (43')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall37209867432469
2Bradford CityBradford37199948311766
3AFC Wimbledon371891049262363
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster371891054441063
5Notts County3717101056391761
6Port Vale361613747371061
7Colchester UnitedColchester371416745331258
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe37141584538757
9Grimsby Town37175155154-356
10Salford City371411124441353
11Bromley371313114845352
12Chesterfield361491358441451
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham371311135154-350
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood371213124946349
15Swindon TownSwindon371114125555047
16Newport CountyNewport37137174861-1346
17BarrowBarrow36128164043-344
18MK Dons36126184653-742
19Gillingham36119163139-842
20Accrington StanleyAccrington371010174555-1040
21Harrogate TownHarrogate37117192948-1940
22Tranmere RoversTranmere37812172855-2736
23Morecambe3786233356-2330
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3669212653-2727
> League Two Full Table


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