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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Notts County
League Two | Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
Carlisle United

Notts County
1 - 0
Carlisle

Jatta (19')
McDonald (14'), McGoldrick (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Fusire (15'), McArthur (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Notts County and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Notts County 1-1 Bromley
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-2 Carlisle
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Notts County 2-1 Carlisle United

Notts County head into Tuesday's clash as clear favourites, and they are expected to secure all three points – however, Carlisle's renewed confidence following their recent away victory could make this a more closely contested affair than anticipated. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 52.4%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 24.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Notts County in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Notts County.

Result
Notts CountyDrawCarlisle United
52.4% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05) 23.47% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 24.13% (0.038 0.04)
Both teams to score 55.79% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.96% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)45.04% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.61% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)67.39% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.82% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)17.18% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.56% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)47.44% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.36% (0.030000000000001 0.03)32.64% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.81% (0.035 0.04)69.19% (-0.030999999999992 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 52.4%
    Carlisle United 24.13%
    Draw 23.48%
Notts CountyDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 9.88% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 8.7% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.72% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 5.11% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.2%
4-1 @ 2.52% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 2.25% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.41% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 52.4%
1-1 @ 11.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.61% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 5.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.48%
0-1 @ 6.28% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.19% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.52% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.31% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.31% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 24.13%

How you voted: Notts County vs Carlisle

Notts County
77.1%
Draw
14.3%
Carlisle United
8.6%
35
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Carlisle
0-2
Notts County

Vela (60')
Jatta (10'), Robertson (34')
Platt (16'), Abbott (62'), Bedeau (82')
Mar 12, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Carlisle
1-3
Notts County
Hope (76')
Gerrard (66'), Devitt (96')
Hemmings (37', 66'), Alessandra (90')
Milsom (23'), Rose (87'), O'Brien (93')
Nov 27, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Notts County
1-1
Carlisle
Hewitt (63')
Hewitt (79')
Yates (84')
Feb 13, 2018 7.45pm
Notts County
2-1
Carlisle
Stead (19', 35')
Noble (62'), Duffy (79'), Husin (80'), Alessandra (81')
Devitt (75')
Oct 21, 2017 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CDoncaster RoversDoncaster4624121073502384
4Walsall4621141175542177
5AFC Wimbledon4620131356352173
6Notts County4620121468491972
7Chesterfield4619131473541970
8Salford City4618151364541069
9Grimsby Town46208186167-668
10Colchester UnitedColchester461619115247567
11Bromley461715146459566
12Swindon TownSwindon461517147163862
13Crewe AlexandraCrewe461517144948162
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood461515166060060
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham461612186070-1060
16BarrowBarrow461514175250259
17Gillingham461416164146-558
18Harrogate TownHarrogate461411214361-1853
19MK Dons461410225266-1452
20Tranmere RoversTranmere461215194565-2051
21Accrington StanleyAccrington461214205369-1650
22Newport CountyNewport461310235276-2449
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle461012244471-2742
RMorecambe46106304072-3236


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