

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.99%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Notts County |
| 33.06% ( | 24.11% ( | 42.82% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.17% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.8% ( | 42.2% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.39% ( | 64.6% ( |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.12% ( | 24.87% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.52% ( | 59.48% ( |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.09% ( | 19.91% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.96% ( | 52.04% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Notts County |
| 2-1 @ 7.74% ( 1-0 @ 6.89% ( 2-0 @ 4.79% ( 3-1 @ 3.59% ( 3-2 @ 2.9% ( 3-0 @ 2.22% ( 4-1 @ 1.25% ( 4-2 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.68% Total : 33.06% | 1-1 @ 11.12% ( 2-2 @ 6.24% ( 0-0 @ 4.95% ( 3-3 @ 1.56% ( Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.11% | 1-2 @ 8.97% ( 0-1 @ 7.99% ( 0-2 @ 6.45% ( 1-3 @ 4.83% ( 0-3 @ 3.47% ( 2-3 @ 3.36% ( 1-4 @ 1.95% ( 0-4 @ 1.4% ( 2-4 @ 1.36% ( Other @ 3.05% Total : 42.82% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 46 | 24 | 12 | 10 | 73 | 50 | 23 | 84 |
| P | Port Vale | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 80 |
| P | Bradford CityBradford | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 64 | 45 | 19 | 78 |
| 4 | Walsall | 46 | 21 | 14 | 11 | 75 | 54 | 21 | 77 |
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 20 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 73 |
| 6 | Notts County | 46 | 20 | 12 | 14 | 68 | 49 | 19 | 72 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 46 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 73 | 54 | 19 | 70 |
| 8 | Salford City | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 64 | 54 | 10 | 69 |
| 9 | Grimsby Town | 46 | 20 | 8 | 18 | 61 | 67 | -6 | 68 |
| 10 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 46 | 16 | 19 | 11 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 67 |
| 11 | Bromley | 46 | 17 | 15 | 14 | 64 | 59 | 5 | 66 |
| 12 | Swindon TownSwindon | 46 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 71 | 63 | 8 | 62 |
| 13 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 46 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 62 |
| 14 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 60 |
| 15 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 60 | 70 | -10 | 60 |
| 16 | BarrowBarrow | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 52 | 50 | 2 | 59 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 58 |
| 18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 43 | 61 | -18 | 53 |
| 19 | MK Dons | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 52 | 66 | -14 | 52 |
| 20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 46 | 12 | 15 | 19 | 45 | 65 | -20 | 51 |
| 21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 46 | 12 | 14 | 20 | 53 | 69 | -16 | 50 |
| 22 | Newport CountyNewport | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 52 | 76 | -24 | 49 |
| R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 42 |
| R | Morecambe | 46 | 10 | 6 | 30 | 40 | 72 | -32 | 36 |
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