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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Accrington Stanley
League Two | Gameweek 24
Jan 1, 2025 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
Grimsby Town

Accrington
3 - 2
Grimsby Town

Woods (9', 82'), Whalley (60' pen.)
Love (35'), Coyle (44'), Henderson (90')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Green (5'), Khouri (39')
Khouri (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's League Two clash between Accrington Stanley and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Carlisle 2-1 Accrington
Sunday, December 29 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 3-0 Port Vale
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Accrington Stanley 0-2 Grimsby Town

Accrington have been struggling since their loss in the reverse fixture, and are not likely to fare any better on Wednesday. Grimsby will be keen to keep up with the pack of clubs fighting for the automatic promotion spot behind Walsall, and it is difficult to picture anything other than a routine win for the visitors on New Year's Day. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 41.24%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawGrimsby Town
32.32% (-0.13800000000001 -0.14) 26.44% (-0.169 -0.17) 41.24% (0.306 0.31)
Both teams to score 52.03% (0.485 0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.35% (0.641 0.64)52.65% (-0.642 -0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.7% (0.547 0.55)74.3% (-0.54599999999999 -0.55)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.55% (0.229 0.23)30.45% (-0.23 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.34% (0.27200000000001 0.27)66.66% (-0.273 -0.27)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.81% (0.45 0.45)25.19% (-0.452 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.08% (0.617 0.62)59.91% (-0.619 -0.62)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 32.32%
    Grimsby Town 41.24%
    Draw 26.43%
Accrington StanleyDrawGrimsby Town
1-0 @ 9.12% (-0.174 -0.17)
2-1 @ 7.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 5.42% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-1 @ 2.96% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.15% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.04% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 32.32%
1-1 @ 12.57% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 7.67% (-0.196 -0.2)
2-2 @ 5.15% (0.068 0.07)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.43%
0-1 @ 10.57% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-2 @ 8.67% (0.06 0.06)
0-2 @ 7.29% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.99% (0.079 0.08)
0-3 @ 3.35% (0.045 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.37% (0.061 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.37% (0.045 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.16% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 41.24%

How you voted: Accrington vs Grimsby Town

Accrington Stanley
30.3%
Draw
18.2%
Grimsby Town
51.5%
33
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Grimsby Town
5-2
Accrington
Rodgers (2'), Luker (11'), Obikwu (19'), Davies (33' pen.), Aljofree (68' og.)
Henderson (63'), Woods (79')
Khumbeni (31'), Love (40'), Hunter (89'), Hunter (90+3'), O'Brien (90+4')
Feb 3, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 31
Accrington
0-0
Grimsby Town
Woods (49')
Hume (79')
Oct 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 13
Grimsby Town
0-2
Accrington

Waterfall (17')
Waterfall (72')
Whalley (74'), Andrews (82')
Leigh (51'), Martin (66')
Nov 22, 2022 7.30pm
Second Round
Grimsby Town
0-1
Accrington
Leigh (66' pen.)
Dec 30, 2017 3pm
Grimsby Town
0-3
Accrington

Davies (22'), Matt (73')
Kee (56' pen.), McConville (61'), Jackson (77')
Jackson (31'), Brown (37')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CDoncaster RoversDoncaster4624121073502384
4Walsall4621141175542177
5AFC Wimbledon4620131356352173
6Notts County4620121468491972
7Chesterfield4619131473541970
8Salford City4618151364541069
9Grimsby Town46208186167-668
10Colchester UnitedColchester461619115247567
11Bromley461715146459566
12Swindon TownSwindon461517147163862
13Crewe AlexandraCrewe461517144948162
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood461515166060060
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham461612186070-1060
16BarrowBarrow461514175250259
17Gillingham461416164146-558
18Harrogate TownHarrogate461411214361-1853
19MK Dons461410225266-1452
20Tranmere RoversTranmere461215194565-2051
21Accrington StanleyAccrington461214205369-1650
22Newport CountyNewport461310235276-2449
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle461012244471-2742
RMorecambe46106304072-3236


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