Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 43.77%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 29.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.