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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Grimsby Town
League Two | Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Blundell Park
Gillingham

Grimsby Town
1 - 1
Gillingham

Rose (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tharme (35' og.)
Khumbeni (56'), Little (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Grimsby Town and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barrow 3-0 Grimsby Town
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Tranmere 1-1 Gillingham
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Grimsby Town 1-1 Gillingham

Grimsby will be particularly desperate to take all three points this week and avoid losing even more ground on their promotion rivals. However, their defensive record means that Gillingham are likely to score, and they may take home a share of the spoils on Tuesday as a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 41.78%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 30.28% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Grimsby TownDrawGillingham
41.78% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06) 27.94% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01) 30.28% (0.062999999999999 0.06)
Both teams to score 46.81% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.06% (0.044999999999995 0.04)58.94% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.58% (0.035 0.04)79.42% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.19% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)27.81% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.6% (-0.012 -0.01)63.4% (0.012 0.01)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.84% (0.072999999999993 0.07)35.16% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.09% (0.074999999999999 0.07)71.91% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Grimsby Town 41.78%
    Gillingham 30.28%
    Draw 27.94%
Grimsby TownDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 12.51% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.37% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 8.01% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.57% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.42% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.87% (0.002 0)
4-1 @ 1.14%
4-0 @ 1.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 41.78%
1-1 @ 13.08%
0-0 @ 9.78% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.38% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 27.94%
0-1 @ 10.22% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.84% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.34% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.38% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.86% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.52% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 30.28%

How you voted: Grimsby Town vs Gillingham

Grimsby Town
60.0%
Draw
33.3%
Gillingham
6.7%
15
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Gillingham
0-1
Grimsby Town

Morris (50')
Green (21')
McJannett (25'), Hume (51'), Pyke (66'), Green (81'), Khouri (88'), Rodgers (90+6')
Mar 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 39
Gillingham
1-1
Grimsby Town
Lapslie (15')
McKenzie (83'), Lapslie (84')
Wilson (13')
Clifton (18'), Tharme (22'), Hume (66')
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Grimsby Town
2-0
Gillingham
Maher (11'), Holohan (27')
Amos (90+4')
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall35208764382668
2Bradford CityBradford35199748291966
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster351871051411061
4Notts County341610853351858
5AFC Wimbledon34169944232157
6Port Vale33151264234857
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe35141384336755
8Grimsby Town34165134850-253
9Bromley351312104541451
10Colchester UnitedColchester34111673932749
11Salford City341310114236649
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood351212114842648
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham341210124649-346
14Swindon TownSwindon351112125050045
15Newport CountyNewport34127154454-1043
16Chesterfield33119135042842
17BarrowBarrow34117163641-540
18MK Dons34116174449-539
19Gillingham34108162938-938
20Harrogate TownHarrogate35107182845-1737
21Accrington StanleyAccrington3499163952-1336
22Tranmere RoversTranmere35612172554-2930
23Morecambe3585223052-2229
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3469192550-2527


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