We said: Grimsby Town 1-1 Gillingham
Grimsby will be particularly desperate to take all three points this week and avoid losing even more ground on their promotion rivals.
However, their defensive record means that Gillingham are likely to score, and they may take home a share of the spoils on Tuesday as a result.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 41.78%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 30.28% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.