Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 79.14%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 8.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.28%) and 2-1 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.63%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 1-2 (2.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Birmingham City | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 79.14% ( | 12.71% ( | 8.15% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.51% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.63% ( | 26.37% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.31% ( | 46.69% ( |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.77% ( | 5.23% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 79.34% ( | 20.65% ( |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.57% ( | 41.42% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.07% ( | 77.93% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Birmingham City | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 2-0 @ 9.43% ( 3-0 @ 9.28% ( 2-1 @ 8.31% ( 3-1 @ 8.18% ( 4-0 @ 6.85% ( 1-0 @ 6.39% ( 4-1 @ 6.03% ( 5-0 @ 4.04% ( 3-2 @ 3.6% ( 5-1 @ 3.56% ( 4-2 @ 2.66% ( 6-0 @ 1.99% ( 6-1 @ 1.75% ( 5-2 @ 1.57% ( Other @ 5.51% Total : 79.14% | 1-1 @ 5.63% ( 2-2 @ 3.66% ( 0-0 @ 2.17% ( 3-3 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 12.71% | 1-2 @ 2.48% ( 0-1 @ 1.91% ( 2-3 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 2.68% Total : 8.15% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 34 | 9 | 3 | 84 | 31 | 53 | 111 |
| P | Wrexham | 46 | 27 | 11 | 8 | 67 | 34 | 33 | 92 |
| 3 | Stockport CountyStockport | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 72 | 42 | 30 | 87 |
| 4 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 25 | 10 | 11 | 67 | 43 | 24 | 85 |
| 5 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 24 | 12 | 10 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 84 |
| 6 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 24 | 6 | 16 | 72 | 48 | 24 | 78 |
| 7 | Reading | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 68 | 57 | 11 | 75 |
| 8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 20 | 8 | 18 | 67 | 70 | -3 | 68 |
| 9 | Blackpool | 46 | 17 | 16 | 13 | 72 | 60 | 12 | 67 |
| 10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 19 | 7 | 20 | 58 | 55 | 3 | 64 |
| 11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 16 | 13 | 17 | 64 | 56 | 8 | 61 |
| 12 | Barnsley | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 69 | 73 | -4 | 61 |
| 13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 54 | 59 | -5 | 59 |
| 14 | Stevenage | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 57 |
| 15 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 13 | 17 | 16 | 40 | 42 | -2 | 56 |
| 16 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 56 |
| 17 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 46 | 15 | 9 | 22 | 60 | 73 | -13 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 68 | 81 | -13 | 51 |
| 19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 12 | 15 | 19 | 48 | 66 | -18 | 51 |
| 20 | Burton Albion | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 47 |
| R | Crawley TownCrawley | 46 | 12 | 10 | 24 | 57 | 83 | -26 | 46 |
| R | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 44 | 76 | -32 | 43 |
| R | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 45 | 73 | -28 | 38 |
| R | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 41 | 79 | -38 | 33 |
| > League One Full Table | |||||||||
