

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 43.86%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 31.15% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 31.15% ( | 24.99% ( | 43.86% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.31% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.1% ( | 46.9% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.85% ( | 69.15% ( |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.65% ( | 28.35% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.91% ( | 64.09% ( |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.59% ( | 21.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.6% ( | 54.4% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 1-0 @ 7.65% ( 2-1 @ 7.43% ( 2-0 @ 4.82% ( 3-1 @ 3.12% ( 3-2 @ 2.41% ( 3-0 @ 2.03% ( 4-1 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.71% Total : 31.15% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( 0-0 @ 6.07% ( 2-2 @ 5.73% ( 3-3 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.99% | 0-1 @ 9.36% ( 1-2 @ 9.09% ( 0-2 @ 7.21% ( 1-3 @ 4.67% ( 0-3 @ 3.71% ( 2-3 @ 2.94% ( 1-4 @ 1.8% ( 0-4 @ 1.43% ( 2-4 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 2.52% Total : 43.86% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barnet | 46 | 31 | 9 | 6 | 97 | 38 | 59 | 102 |
| 2 | York City | 46 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 95 | 42 | 53 | 96 |
| 3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 46 | 22 | 17 | 7 | 69 | 42 | 27 | 83 |
| 4 | Rochdale | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 69 | 44 | 25 | 74 |
| 5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 19 | 16 | 11 | 64 | 48 | 16 | 73 |
| 6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 50 | 46 | 4 | 70 |
| 7 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 17 | 17 | 12 | 59 | 48 | 11 | 68 |
| 8 | Gateshead | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 76 | 68 | 8 | 67 |
| 9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 68 | 62 | 6 | 64 |
| 10 | Tamworth | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 65 | 72 | -7 | 64 |
| 11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 14 | 18 | 14 | 59 | 62 | -3 | 60 |
| 12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 59 | 64 | -5 | 60 |
| 13 | Eastleigh | 46 | 14 | 17 | 15 | 58 | 61 | -3 | 59 |
| 14 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 61 | 67 | -6 | 58 |
| 15 | Woking | 46 | 13 | 19 | 14 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 58 |
| 16 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 69 | 83 | -14 | 57 |
| 17 | Braintree TownBraintree | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 56 |
| 18 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 51 | 60 | -9 | 56 |
| 19 | Boston UnitedBoston | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 55 |
| 20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 56 | 76 | -20 | 53 |
| 21 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 61 | 62 | -1 | 52 |
| 22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 57 | 75 | -18 | 52 |
| 23 | Fylde | 46 | 11 | 7 | 28 | 50 | 85 | -35 | 40 |
| 24 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 3 | 13 | 30 | 38 | 98 | -60 | 22 |
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