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Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Barnet
Braintree Town
Dagenham & Redbridge
Eastleigh
Ebbsfleet United
Forest Green Rovers
AFC Fylde
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Maidenhead United
Oldham Athletic
Rochdale
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Oldham Athletic
National League | Gameweek 27
Dec 30, 2023 at 3pm UK
Boundary Park
Hartlepool United

Oldham
2 - 0
Hartlepool

Stones (3'), Fondop (85')
Hudson (83'), Norman (83'), Fondop (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Brennan (27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Oldham Athletic and Hartlepool United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oldham Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: Hartlepool 1-3 Oldham
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in National League

Hartlepool United

All competitions
Last Game: Hartlepool 1-3 Oldham
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in National League

We said: Oldham Athletic 2-1 Hartlepool United

 Hartlepool will be determined to put things right after losing at home to Oldham earlier this week. Nevertheless, we can only predict a home win, even though the Latics may have to work harder for maximum points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 41.3%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oldham Athletic would win this match.

Result
Oldham AthleticDrawHartlepool United
41.3% (-0.125 -0.13) 24.53% (-0.020999999999997 -0.02) 34.17% (0.144 0.14)
Both teams to score 59.03% (0.121 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.17% (0.137 0.14)43.83% (-0.14 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.78% (0.134 0.13)66.21% (-0.137 -0.14)
Oldham Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.71%21.29% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.78% (0.0020000000000024 0)54.22% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75% (0.151 0.15)25% (-0.154 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.34% (0.21 0.21)59.65% (-0.214 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Oldham Athletic 41.3%
    Hartlepool United 34.17%
    Draw 24.52%
Oldham AthleticDrawHartlepool United
2-1 @ 8.83% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.23% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 6.37% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.55% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.28% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.16% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.27% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.22% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 41.3%
1-1 @ 11.41% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.12% (0.017 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.32% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.46% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.52%
1-2 @ 7.91% (0.022 0.02)
0-1 @ 7.38% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.11% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.66% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.83% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.36% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.27% (0.014 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.98% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 34.17%

Head to Head
Dec 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 26
Hartlepool
1-3
Oldham
Grey (4')
Onariase (81')
Stones (9'), Norwood (16', 64')
Sutton (53'), Lundstram (74'), Raglan (90+2'), Stones (90+3')
Jan 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 25
Hartlepool
0-0
Oldham
McGahey (6'), Clarke (38'), Hart (45+3'), Diarra (73')
> Preview
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 8
Oldham
0-0
Hartlepool
Jameson (80'), Piergianni (87')
Ferguson (42'), Liddle (73'), Sterry (90+3')
Mar 19, 2013 7.45pm
Oldham
3-0
Hartlepool
Yves Mvoto Owono (27'), Simpson (17'), Baxter (69')
Nov 20, 2012 7.45pm
Hartlepool
1-2
Oldham
Sweeney (65')
Humphreys (21'), Horwood (90')
Austin (76')
Baxter (17', 90')
Montano (32'), Croft (51'), Derbyshire (65'), Baxter (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barnet43289687375093
2York City43278890414989
3Forest Green RoversForest Green432016764412376
4Oldham AthleticOldham4318151061461569
5Rochdale4219101363412267
6Halifax TownHalifax431813124840867
7Gateshead431991573631066
8Southend UnitedSouthend431516125248461
9AltrinchamAltrincham431612156355860
10Tamworth431612156065-560
11Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool431317135454056
12Sutton UnitedSutton431414155559-456
13Yeovil TownYeovil431511174955-656
14Eastleigh431316145557-255
15Solihull MoorsSolihull42159185761-454
16Aldershot TownAldershot431315156775-854
17Woking431217144656-1053
18Braintree TownBraintree431410194958-952
19Boston UnitedBoston431410195060-1052
20WealdstoneWealdstone431213185271-1949
21Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red431114185460-647
22Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead43129225174-2345
23Fylde43116264778-3139
24Ebbsfleet43313273890-5222
> National League Full Table


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