

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 58.24%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Bromley had a probability of 19.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a Bromley win it was 1-2 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Bromley |
| 58.24% ( | 21.88% ( | 19.88% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.18% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.97% ( | 43.03% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.57% ( | 65.43% ( |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.51% ( | 14.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 57.53% ( | 42.47% ( |
| Bromley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.52% ( | 35.48% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.76% ( | 72.24% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Bromley |
| 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 1-0 @ 9.93% ( 2-0 @ 9.59% ( 3-1 @ 6.4% ( 3-0 @ 6.18% ( 3-2 @ 3.32% ( 4-1 @ 3.09% ( 4-0 @ 2.98% ( 4-2 @ 1.6% ( 5-1 @ 1.2% ( 5-0 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 2.86% Total : 58.24% | 1-1 @ 10.28% ( 2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0-0 @ 5.14% ( 3-3 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.87% | 1-2 @ 5.33% ( 0-1 @ 5.33% ( 0-2 @ 2.76% ( 1-3 @ 1.84% ( 2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0-3 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 1.89% Total : 19.88% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 25 | 20 | 2 | 3 | 61 | 33 | 28 | 62 |
| 2 | Bromley | 28 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 49 | 29 | 20 | 56 |
| 3 | Barnet | 28 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 57 | 40 | 17 | 55 |
| 4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 46 |
| 5 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 43 |
| 6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 42 |
| 7 | Rochdale | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 41 |
| 8 | Gateshead | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 50 | 33 | 17 | 40 |
| 9 | Halifax TownHalifax | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 40 |
| 10 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 45 | 47 | -2 | 40 |
| 11 | Eastleigh | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 37 |
| 12 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 33 |
| 13 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 32 |
| 14 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
| 15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 43 | 28 | 15 | 31 |
| 16 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 28 | 9 | 4 | 15 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 31 |
| 17 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 30 |
| 18 | York City | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 30 |
| 19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 28 |
| 20 | Woking | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 27 |
| 21 | Ebbsfleet | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 27 |
| 22 | Fylde | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 25 |
| 23 | Oxford CityOxford City | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 24 |
| 24 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 28 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 20 |
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