Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for York City has a probability of 34.88% and a draw has a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win is 0-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest York City win is 1-0 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.95%).
| Result | ||
| York City | Draw | Hartlepool United | 
| 34.88% (  0.26) | 25.32% (  0.06) | 39.79% (  -0.33) | 
| Both teams to score 56.39% (  -0.17) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 52.67% (  -0.25) | 47.33% (  0.24) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 30.44% (  -0.23) | 69.55% (  0.22) | 
| York City Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 73.76% (  0.04) | 26.24% (  -0.04) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.65% (  0.05) | 61.34% (  -0.06) | 
| Hartlepool United Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 76.44% (  -0.28) | 23.55% (  0.27) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.39% (  -0.4) | 57.61% (  0.4) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| York City | Draw | Hartlepool United | 
| 1-0 @ 8.27% (  0.09) 2-1 @ 8% (  0.04) 2-0 @ 5.53% (  0.07) 3-1 @ 3.57% (  0.02) 3-2 @ 2.58% (  -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.47% (  0.03) 4-1 @ 1.19% (  0.01) Other @ 3.28% Total : 34.88% | 1-1 @ 11.95% (  0.04) 0-0 @ 6.18% (  0.06) 2-2 @ 5.78% (  -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.24% (  -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.32% | 0-1 @ 8.94% (  0.02) 1-2 @ 8.64% (  -0.04) 0-2 @ 6.46% (  -0.04) 1-3 @ 4.17% (  -0.05) 0-3 @ 3.11% (  -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.79% (  -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.51% (  -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.13% (  -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.01% (  -0.02) Other @ 2.05% Total : 39.79% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 26 | 22 | 47 | 
| 2 | Barnet | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 42 | 
| 3 | Bromley | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 39 | 
| 4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 37 | 
| 5 | Gateshead | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 44 | 25 | 19 | 32 | 
| 6 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 34 | 25 | 9 | 32 | 
| 7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 31 | 
| 8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 30 | 
| 9 | Rochdale | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 27 | 
| 10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 | 
| 11 | Eastleigh | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 27 | 
| 12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 26 | 
| 13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 | 
| 14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 36 | 21 | 15 | 24 | 
| 15 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 24 | 
| 16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 23 | 
| 17 | Woking | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 | 
| 18 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 22 | 
| 19 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 21 | 
| 20 | Oxford CityOxford City | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 20 | 
| 21 | York City | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 19 | 
| 22 | Ebbsfleet | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 18 | 
| 23 | Fylde | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 16 | 
| 24 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 14 | 
| > National League Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
