Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for York City has a probability of 34.88% and a draw has a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win is 0-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest York City win is 1-0 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.95%).
| Result | ||
| York City | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 34.88% ( | 25.32% ( | 39.79% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.39% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.67% ( | 47.33% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.44% ( | 69.55% ( |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.76% ( | 26.24% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.65% ( | 61.34% ( |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.44% ( | 23.55% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.39% ( | 57.61% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| York City | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 1-0 @ 8.27% ( 2-1 @ 8% ( 2-0 @ 5.53% ( 3-1 @ 3.57% ( 3-2 @ 2.58% ( 3-0 @ 2.47% ( 4-1 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 3.28% Total : 34.88% | 1-1 @ 11.95% ( 0-0 @ 6.18% ( 2-2 @ 5.78% ( 3-3 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.32% | 0-1 @ 8.94% ( 1-2 @ 8.64% ( 0-2 @ 6.46% ( 1-3 @ 4.17% ( 0-3 @ 3.11% ( 2-3 @ 2.79% ( 1-4 @ 1.51% ( 0-4 @ 1.13% ( 2-4 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.05% Total : 39.79% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 26 | 22 | 47 |
| 2 | Barnet | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 42 |
| 3 | Bromley | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 39 |
| 4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 37 |
| 5 | Gateshead | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 44 | 25 | 19 | 32 |
| 6 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 34 | 25 | 9 | 32 |
| 7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 31 |
| 8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 30 |
| 9 | Rochdale | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 27 |
| 10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
| 11 | Eastleigh | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 27 |
| 12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 26 |
| 13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
| 14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 36 | 21 | 15 | 24 |
| 15 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 24 |
| 16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 23 |
| 17 | Woking | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
| 18 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 22 |
| 19 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 21 |
| 20 | Oxford CityOxford City | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 20 |
| 21 | York City | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 19 |
| 22 | Ebbsfleet | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 18 |
| 23 | Fylde | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 16 |
| 24 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 14 |
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