

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 51.73%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 26.24% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.32%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 2-1 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wealdstone | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 26.24% ( | 22.03% ( | 51.73% ( |
| Both teams to score 63.13% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.64% ( | 36.36% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.51% ( | 58.49% ( |
| Wealdstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.66% ( | 26.34% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.52% ( | 61.48% ( |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.71% ( | 14.29% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 57.9% ( | 42.1% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Wealdstone | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 2-1 @ 6.52% ( 1-0 @ 5.02% ( 2-0 @ 3.35% ( 3-1 @ 2.9% ( 3-2 @ 2.82% ( 3-0 @ 1.49% ( 4-1 @ 0.97% ( 4-2 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.24% Total : 26.24% | 1-1 @ 9.77% ( 2-2 @ 6.34% ( 0-0 @ 3.77% ( 3-3 @ 1.83% ( Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.03% | 1-2 @ 9.5% ( 0-1 @ 7.32% ( 0-2 @ 7.13% ( 1-3 @ 6.16% ( 0-3 @ 4.62% ( 2-3 @ 4.11% ( 1-4 @ 3% ( 0-4 @ 2.25% ( 2-4 @ 2% ( 1-5 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 4.47% Total : 51.73% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 27 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 68 | 34 | 34 | 68 |
| 2 | Bromley | 28 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 49 | 29 | 20 | 56 |
| 3 | Barnet | 28 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 57 | 40 | 17 | 55 |
| 4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 46 |
| 5 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 43 |
| 6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 42 |
| 7 | Rochdale | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 41 |
| 8 | Gateshead | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 40 |
| 9 | Halifax TownHalifax | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 40 |
| 10 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 45 | 47 | -2 | 40 |
| 11 | Eastleigh | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 37 |
| 12 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 44 | 28 | 16 | 34 |
| 13 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 33 |
| 14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 32 |
| 15 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
| 16 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 28 | 9 | 4 | 15 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 31 |
| 17 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 30 |
| 18 | York City | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 30 |
| 19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 28 |
| 20 | Woking | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 27 |
| 21 | Ebbsfleet | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 27 |
| 22 | Fylde | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 25 |
| 23 | Oxford CityOxford City | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 24 |
| 24 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 28 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 20 |
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