

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 51.73%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 26.24% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.32%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 2-1 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wealdstone | Draw | Hartlepool United | 
| 26.24% (  0.25) | 22.03% (  -0.28) | 51.73% (  0.03) | 
| Both teams to score 63.13% (  1.29) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 63.64% (  1.58) | 36.36% (  -1.58) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 41.51% (  1.71) | 58.49% (  -1.71) | 
| Wealdstone Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 73.66% (  1.02) | 26.34% (  -1.02) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.52% (  1.34) | 61.48% (  -1.34) | 
| Hartlepool United Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 85.71% (  0.57) | 14.29% (  -0.57) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 57.9% (  1.1) | 42.1% (  -1.1) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Wealdstone | Draw | Hartlepool United | 
| 2-1 @ 6.52% (  0.01) 1-0 @ 5.02% (  -0.25) 2-0 @ 3.35% (  -0.07) 3-1 @ 2.9% (  0.09) 3-2 @ 2.82% (  0.14) 3-0 @ 1.49% (  0.01) 4-1 @ 0.97% (  0.05) 4-2 @ 0.94% (  0.07) Other @ 2.24% Total : 26.24% | 1-1 @ 9.77% (  -0.27) 2-2 @ 6.34% (  0.13) 0-0 @ 3.77% (  -0.3) 3-3 @ 1.83% (  0.12) Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.03% | 1-2 @ 9.5% (  -0.07) 0-1 @ 7.32% (  -0.43) 0-2 @ 7.13% (  -0.26) 1-3 @ 6.16% (  0.08) 0-3 @ 4.62% (  -0.08) 2-3 @ 4.11% (  0.17) 1-4 @ 3% (  0.1) 0-4 @ 2.25% (  0.01) 2-4 @ 2% (  0.12) 1-5 @ 1.17% (  0.06) Other @ 4.47% Total : 51.73% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 27 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 68 | 34 | 34 | 68 | 
| 2 | Bromley | 28 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 49 | 29 | 20 | 56 | 
| 3 | Barnet | 28 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 57 | 40 | 17 | 55 | 
| 4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 46 | 
| 5 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 43 | 
| 6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 42 | 
| 7 | Rochdale | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 41 | 
| 8 | Gateshead | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 40 | 
| 9 | Halifax TownHalifax | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 40 | 
| 10 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 45 | 47 | -2 | 40 | 
| 11 | Eastleigh | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 37 | 
| 12 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 44 | 28 | 16 | 34 | 
| 13 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 33 | 
| 14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 32 | 
| 15 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 | 
| 16 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 28 | 9 | 4 | 15 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 31 | 
| 17 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 30 | 
| 18 | York City | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 30 | 
| 19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 28 | 
| 20 | Woking | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 27 | 
| 21 | Ebbsfleet | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 27 | 
| 22 | Fylde | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 25 | 
| 23 | Oxford CityOxford City | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 24 | 
| 24 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 28 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 20 | 
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