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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2025 at 3pm UK
Robins High Performance Centre
Sunderland

Bristol City
2 - 1
Sunderland

Dickie (55'), McCrorie (76')
Pring (48')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mayenda (31')
Patterson (66'), Hjelde (80'), Anderson (89')
Hume (7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 1-1 Bristol City
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 0-1 Swansea
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 49.77%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Sunderland had a probability of 24.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Sunderland win it was 0-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol City would win this match.

Result
Bristol CityDrawSunderland
49.77% (0.426 0.43)26.14% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)24.08% (-0.422 -0.42)
Both teams to score 47.59% (-0.388 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.18% (-0.29799999999999 -0.3)55.82% (0.297 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.06% (-0.244 -0.24)76.94% (0.241 0.24)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.52% (0.063000000000002 0.06)22.48% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.96% (0.094999999999999 0.09)56.04% (-0.098000000000006 -0.1)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.39% (-0.552 -0.55)38.6% (0.55 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.65% (-0.531 -0.53)75.35% (0.527 0.53)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 49.77%
    Sunderland 24.08%
    Draw 26.13%
Bristol CityDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 12.95% (0.17 0.17)
2-0 @ 9.67% (0.147 0.15)
2-1 @ 9.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.81% (0.083 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.58% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.79% (0.034 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.71% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 49.77%
1-1 @ 12.32% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.68% (0.099 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.38% (-0.065 -0.06)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 26.13%
0-1 @ 8.26% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-2 @ 5.87% (-0.098 -0.1)
0-2 @ 3.93% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.86% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.25% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 24.08%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Sunderland

Bristol City
68.3%
Draw
14.6%
Sunderland
17.1%
41
Head to Head
Dec 10, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Sunderland
1-1
Bristol City
Roberts (90+3')
Rigg (68'), Roberts (86')
McNally (62')
Vyner (37'), McNally (44'), Mehmeti (83'), Pring (84'), Knight (90+2')
Apr 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 41
Sunderland
0-0
Bristol City
Hume (62')
Roberts (70')
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Bristol City
1-0
Sunderland
Conway (20' pen.)
Conway (1'), Dickie (35'), Williams (70')

Bellingham (69'), Roberts (85'), Ballard (90+4')
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 33
Sunderland
1-1
Bristol City
Clarke (59')
Wells (90+3' pen.)
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Bristol City
2-3
Sunderland
Weimann (10'), Martin (51')
Williams (27'), Sykes (58')
Simms (4', 53'), Stewart (72')
Evans (1'), Cirkin (20')