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Grimsby Town
League Two | Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2025 at 3pm UK
Blundell Park
Swindon Town

Grimsby Town
0 - 4
Swindon


David Turi (59')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Nichols (8'), Clarke (32'), Tshimanga (65'), Ameen (90+5')
Clarke (76'), Freckleton (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Grimsby Town and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Harrogate 2-2 Grimsby Town
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 5-4 Bradford
Saturday, April 12 at 12.30pm in League Two

We said: Grimsby Town 2-2 Swindon Town

As two of the form teams in the division, we are expecting an entertaining fixture between these sides. Swindon have frequently proven that they can upset the odds since Holloway's arrival, and we are backing a high-scoring draw to be played out at Blundell Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 43.84%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
Grimsby TownDrawSwindon Town
43.84% (0.23 0.23) 26.15% (0.074999999999999 0.07) 30.01% (-0.302 -0.3)
Both teams to score 51.97% (-0.386 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.72% (-0.43 -0.43)52.29% (0.433 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.02% (-0.37 -0.37)73.98% (0.372 0.37)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.28% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)23.72% (0.077000000000002 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.15% (-0.111 -0.11)57.85% (0.114 0.11)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.13% (-0.43900000000001 -0.44)31.87% (0.44 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.69% (-0.505 -0.5)68.31% (0.506 0.51)
Score Analysis
    Grimsby Town 43.83%
    Swindon Town 30.01%
    Draw 26.14%
Grimsby TownDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 10.87% (0.16 0.16)
2-1 @ 8.95% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 7.83% (0.098 0.1)
3-1 @ 4.29% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.75% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.45% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.54% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.35% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 43.83%
1-1 @ 12.43% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.56% (0.129 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.12% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.14%
0-1 @ 8.64% (0.044 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.11% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-2 @ 4.94% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.71% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.95% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.88% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 30.01%

How you voted: Grimsby Town vs Swindon

Grimsby Town
0.0%
Draw
28.6%
Swindon Town
71.4%
7
Head to Head
Dec 21, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 21
Swindon
3-1
Grimsby Town
Clarke (3'), Tshimanga (41', 60')
Cox (39'), Clarke (66')
Rose (71' pen.)
Hume (88')
Apr 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 45
Grimsby Town
2-0
Swindon
Smith (75'), Wilson (85')
Holohan (69')
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Swindon
2-1
Grimsby Town
Kemp (26'), Cain (64')
Blake-Tracy (60'), Hutton (90+4')
Wilson (69')
Clifton (62'), Rodgers (90+2')
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 27
Swindon
5-0
Grimsby Town
Austin (25'), Lavinier (62'), Williams (66'), Darcy (78'), Khan (88')
Sep 24, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 11
Grimsby Town
1-2
Swindon
Taylor (25')
Jephcott (13'), Darcy (44')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Doncaster RoversDoncaster4422121069482178
2Port Vale442114963451877
3Bradford CityBradford4421121162431975
4Walsall4420141074532174
5AFC Wimbledon4419131255332270
6Notts County4419121364461869
7Grimsby Town44207176166-567
8Colchester UnitedColchester441618105143866
9Salford City441714135851765
10Chesterfield4417131468531564
11Crewe AlexandraCrewe441517124945462
12Bromley441614145856262
13Swindon TownSwindon441515147062860
14BarrowBarrow441512174947257
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood441415155859-157
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham441512175765-857
17Gillingham441315163945-654
18MK Dons44148225266-1450
19Harrogate TownHarrogate441311204057-1750
20Newport CountyNewport441310215170-1949
21Accrington StanleyAccrington441114195268-1647
22Tranmere RoversTranmere441015193964-2545
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle441011234066-2641
24Morecambe44106283866-2836


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