Primeira Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 18, 2025 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Jose Alvalade
Sporting Lisbon3 - 1Moreirense
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Santa Clara 0-1 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, April 12 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, April 12 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
75
Last Game: Moreirense 0-2 Rio Ave
Sunday, April 13 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, April 13 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
34
We said: Sporting Lisbon 2-1 Moreirense
Sporting enter this encounter as clear favourites, given their dominance in this fixture and an impressive record at home this season. With more on the line in the title race, the hosts have every incentive to push for three points, though it may not come easy, especially with the visitors boosted by the return of key players. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 77%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 8.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.54%) and 1-0 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.98%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (2.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Moreirense |
77% ( -0.27) | 14.71% ( 0.12) | 8.29% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 47.12% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
