Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 60.33%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 17.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Moreirense |
60.33% (![]() | 22.24% (![]() | 17.43% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.59% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.73% (![]() | 48.26% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.59% (![]() | 70.41% (![]() |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.43% (![]() | 15.57% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.48% (![]() | 44.52% (![]() |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.73% (![]() | 41.27% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.2% (![]() | 77.79% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Moreirense |
1-0 @ 11.94% (![]() 2-0 @ 11.11% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.84% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.89% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.1% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.2% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.84% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.7% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.26% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.19% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 2.21% Total : 60.32% | 1-1 @ 10.57% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.42% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.35% ( ![]() Other @ 0.88% Total : 22.23% | 0-1 @ 5.69% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.68% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.52% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.38% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.28% ( ![]() Other @ 1.88% Total : 17.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 78 | 25 | 53 | 72 |
2 | Benfica | 29 | 22 | 3 | 4 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 69 |
3 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 62 |
4 | Braga | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 49 | 25 | 24 | 60 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 41 | 29 | 12 | 48 |
6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 47 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 43 |
8 | Casa Pia | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 40 |
9 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 39 |
10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 35 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 33 |
12 | Nacional | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 32 |
13 | AroucaArouca | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 30 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 26 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 22 | 42 | -20 | 26 |
16 | AVS | 29 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 22 | 48 | -26 | 23 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 20 | 41 | -21 | 21 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | 47 | -27 | 21 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |