

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 60.33%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 17.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Moreirense |
| 60.33% ( | 22.24% ( | 17.43% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.59% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.73% ( | 48.26% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.59% ( | 70.41% ( |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.43% ( | 15.57% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.48% ( | 44.52% ( |
| Moreirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.73% ( | 41.27% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.2% ( | 77.79% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Moreirense |
| 1-0 @ 11.94% ( 2-0 @ 11.11% ( 2-1 @ 9.84% ( 3-0 @ 6.89% ( 3-1 @ 6.1% ( 4-0 @ 3.2% ( 4-1 @ 2.84% ( 3-2 @ 2.7% ( 4-2 @ 1.26% ( 5-0 @ 1.19% ( 5-1 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 2.21% Total : 60.32% | 1-1 @ 10.57% ( 0-0 @ 6.42% ( 2-2 @ 4.35% ( Other @ 0.88% Total : 22.23% | 0-1 @ 5.69% ( 1-2 @ 4.68% ( 0-2 @ 2.52% ( 1-3 @ 1.38% ( 2-3 @ 1.28% ( Other @ 1.88% Total : 17.43% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 78 | 25 | 53 | 72 |
| 2 | Benfica | 29 | 22 | 3 | 4 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 69 |
| 3 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 62 |
| 4 | Braga | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 49 | 25 | 24 | 60 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 41 | 29 | 12 | 48 |
| 6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 47 |
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 43 |
| 8 | Casa Pia | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 40 |
| 9 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 39 |
| 10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 35 |
| 11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 33 |
| 12 | Nacional | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 32 |
| 13 | AroucaArouca | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 30 |
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 26 |
| 15 | Estrela Amadora | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 22 | 42 | -20 | 26 |
| 16 | AVS | 29 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 22 | 48 | -26 | 23 |
| 17 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 20 | 41 | -21 | 21 |
| 18 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | 47 | -27 | 21 |
| > Primeira Liga Full Table | |||||||||
