

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 60.33%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 17.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Moreirense | 
| 60.33% (  -2.5) | 22.24% (  0.79) | 17.43% (  1.71) | 
| Both teams to score 49.59% (  1.1) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 51.73% (  -0.4) | 48.26% (  0.4) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 29.59% (  -0.37) | 70.41% (  0.36) | 
| Sporting Lisbon Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 84.43% (  -0.94) | 15.57% (  0.94) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.48% (  -1.78) | 44.52% (  1.78) | 
| Moreirense Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 58.73% (  1.93) | 41.27% (  -1.94) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.2% (  1.67) | 77.79% (  -1.67) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Moreirense | 
| 1-0 @ 11.94% (  -0.2) 2-0 @ 11.11% (  -0.56) 2-1 @ 9.84% (  0.04) 3-0 @ 6.89% (  -0.59) 3-1 @ 6.1% (  -0.18) 4-0 @ 3.2% (  -0.39) 4-1 @ 2.84% (  -0.18) 3-2 @ 2.7% (  0.06) 4-2 @ 1.26% (  -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.19% (  -0.19) 5-1 @ 1.06% (  -0.11) Other @ 2.21% Total : 60.32% | 1-1 @ 10.57% (  0.38) 0-0 @ 6.42% (  0.1) 2-2 @ 4.35% (  0.24) Other @ 0.88% Total : 22.23% | 0-1 @ 5.69% (  0.38) 1-2 @ 4.68% (  0.4) 0-2 @ 2.52% (  0.29) 1-3 @ 1.38% (  0.18) 2-3 @ 1.28% (  0.13) Other @ 1.88% Total : 17.43% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 78 | 25 | 53 | 72 | 
| 2 | Benfica | 29 | 22 | 3 | 4 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 69 | 
| 3 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 62 | 
| 4 | Braga | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 49 | 25 | 24 | 60 | 
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 41 | 29 | 12 | 48 | 
| 6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 47 | 
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 43 | 
| 8 | Casa Pia | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 40 | 
| 9 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 39 | 
| 10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 35 | 
| 11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 33 | 
| 12 | Nacional | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 32 | 
| 13 | AroucaArouca | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 30 | 
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 26 | 
| 15 | Estrela Amadora | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 22 | 42 | -20 | 26 | 
| 16 | AVS | 29 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 22 | 48 | -26 | 23 | 
| 17 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 20 | 41 | -21 | 21 | 
| 18 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | 47 | -27 | 21 | 
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