League One | Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2025 at 3pm UK
The Valley
Charlton2 - 1Northampton
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cambridge 0-1 Charlton
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in League One
Goals
for
for
58
Last Game: Northampton 0-0 Reading
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in League One
Goals
for
for
42
We said: Charlton Athletic 1-0 Northampton Town
Charlton have been excellent at the Valley, and they should be seen as clear favourites to claim all three points. Northampton have also found goals difficult to come by, and their poor return up front could cost them against the hosts' strong backline. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 62.44%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 15.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.5%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Charlton Athletic | Draw | Northampton Town |
62.44% ( -0.96) | 22.35% ( 0.58) | 15.21% ( 0.38) |
| Both teams to score 44.7% ( -0.8) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
