Primeira Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 18, 2025 at 6pm UK
Estadio Do Dragao
Porto2 - 1Famalicao
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Casa Pia 0-1 Porto
Saturday, April 12 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, April 12 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
55
Last Game: Famalicao 3-0 Estoril
Saturday, April 12 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, April 12 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
38
We said: Porto 2-1 Famalicao
Porto may boast an imposing home record in the Primeira Liga this season, but their recent outings at the Dragao have been far from convincing, managing just one victory in their last five league games at the ground. While Famalicao arrive with momentum and could well fancy their chances of snatching a result, the Dragons's top-three ambitions should spur them on to edge this one by the finest of margins. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 60.05%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 18.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a Famalicao win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Famalicao |
60.05% ( 1.32) | 21.71% ( -0.39) | 18.24% ( -0.93) |
| Both teams to score 52.83% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
