Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 36.01% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.4%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 1-2 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eastleigh would win this match.
Result | ||
Eastleigh | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
39.98% (![]() | 24.01% (![]() | 36.01% (![]() |
Both teams to score 61.29% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.95% (![]() | 41.04% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.56% (![]() | 63.43% (![]() |
Eastleigh Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.28% (![]() | 20.72% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.67% (![]() | 53.33% (![]() |
Ebbsfleet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.3% (![]() | 22.69% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.65% (![]() | 56.34% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Eastleigh | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
2-1 @ 8.64% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.4% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.83% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.53% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.36% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.06% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.78% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.32% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.2% ( ![]() Other @ 2.85% Total : 39.98% | 1-1 @ 10.97% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.41% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.7% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.66% ( ![]() Other @ 0.27% Total : 24.01% | 1-2 @ 8.14% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.97% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.17% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.02% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.17% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.56% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.49% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.18% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 2.36% Total : 36.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 36 | 24 | 7 | 5 | 78 | 32 | 46 | 79 |
2 | York City | 35 | 21 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 34 | 33 | 70 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 35 | 18 | 13 | 4 | 54 | 28 | 26 | 67 |
4 | Gateshead | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 60 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 35 | 15 | 13 | 7 | 51 | 38 | 13 | 58 |
6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 42 | 33 | 9 | 56 |
7 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 55 | 39 | 16 | 55 |
8 | Eastleigh | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 51 |
9 | Rochdale | 31 | 14 | 7 | 10 | 41 | 28 | 13 | 49 |
10 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 35 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 49 |
11 | Tamworth | 36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 46 | 56 | -10 | 47 |
12 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 46 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 45 | 44 | 1 | 44 |
14 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 36 | 10 | 14 | 12 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 44 |
15 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 50 | 53 | -3 | 43 |
16 | Woking | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 36 | 47 | -11 | 40 |
17 | Braintree TownBraintree | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 33 | 8 | 13 | 12 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 37 |
19 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 35 | 8 | 12 | 15 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 36 |
20 | Fylde | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 42 | 65 | -23 | 36 |
21 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 41 | 54 | -13 | 35 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 35 | 9 | 7 | 19 | 41 | 67 | -26 | 34 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 27 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 36 | 1 | 11 | 24 | 25 | 78 | -53 | 14 |
> National League Full Table |