

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 32.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.77%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 2-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Altrincham | Draw | Ebbsfleet | 
| 32.82% (  1.12) | 24.79% (  0.07) | 42.39% (  -1.19) | 
| Both teams to score 57.7% (  0.22) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 54.61% (  0.08) | 45.4% (  -0.08) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 32.27% (  0.08) | 67.73% (  -0.08) | 
| Altrincham Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 73.45% (  0.75) | 26.55% (  -0.75) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.24% (  0.98) | 61.76% (  -0.98) | 
| Ebbsfleet Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 78.55% (  -0.51) | 21.45% (  0.51) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.54% (  -0.79) | 54.47% (  0.79) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Altrincham | Draw | Ebbsfleet | 
| 2-1 @ 7.71% (  0.18) 1-0 @ 7.55% (  0.13) 2-0 @ 5.01% (  0.19) 3-1 @ 3.41% (  0.15) 3-2 @ 2.62% (  0.07) 3-0 @ 2.21% (  0.13) 4-1 @ 1.13% (  0.07) Other @ 3.18% Total : 32.82% | 1-1 @ 11.62% (  0.02) 2-2 @ 5.93% (  0.04) 0-0 @ 5.7% (  -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.35% (  0.02) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.78% | 1-2 @ 8.95% (  -0.12) 0-1 @ 8.77% (  -0.17) 0-2 @ 6.75% (  -0.24) 1-3 @ 4.59% (  -0.14) 0-3 @ 3.46% (  -0.18) 2-3 @ 3.05% (  -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.77% (  -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.33% (  -0.09) 2-4 @ 1.17% (  -0.03) Other @ 2.55% Total : 42.39% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 | 
| 2 | Barnet | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 38 | 22 | 16 | 42 | 
| 3 | Bromley | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 35 | 
| 4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 34 | 
| 5 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 29 | 
| 6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 28 | 
| 7 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 27 | 
| 8 | Gateshead | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 26 | 
| 9 | Rochdale | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 24 | 
| 10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 23 | 
| 11 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 23 | 
| 12 | Woking | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 | 
| 13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 22 | 
| 14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 21 | 
| 15 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 21 | 
| 16 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 20 | 
| 17 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 20 | 
| 18 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 19 | 
| 19 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 17 | 
| 20 | Fylde | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 16 | 
| 21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 16 | 
| 22 | York City | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 16 | 
| 23 | Oxford CityOxford City | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 14 | 
| 24 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 14 | 
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