
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 69.25%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 13.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 1-0 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.98%), while for a Dorking Wanderers win it was 1-2 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Dorking Wanderers | 
| 69.25% (  0.55) | 17.42% (  -0.07) | 13.32% (  -0.48) | 
| Both teams to score 56.2% (  -1.23) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 65.37% (  -0.89) | 34.62% (  0.89) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 43.43% (  -1) | 56.57% (  1) | 
| Ebbsfleet Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 90.97% (  -0.11) | 9.03% (  0.11) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 69.25% (  -0.26) | 30.74% (  0.26) | 
| Dorking Wanderers Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 61.78% (  -1.28) | 38.22% (  1.27) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.02% (  -1.25) | 74.98% (  1.25) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Dorking Wanderers | 
| 2-0 @ 9.98% (  0.35) 2-1 @ 9.6% (  0.01) 1-0 @ 8.3% (  0.33) 3-0 @ 8% (  0.24) 3-1 @ 7.69% (  -0.03) 4-0 @ 4.81% (  0.12) 4-1 @ 4.63% (  -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.7% (  -0.14) 5-0 @ 2.31% (  0.05) 4-2 @ 2.22% (  -0.1) 5-1 @ 2.22% (  -0.03) 5-2 @ 1.07% (  -0.05) 6-0 @ 0.93% (  0.02) Other @ 3.8% Total : 69.25% | 1-1 @ 7.98% (  0.05) 2-2 @ 4.62% (  -0.16) 0-0 @ 3.45% (  0.16) 3-3 @ 1.19% (  -0.09) Other @ 0.19% Total : 17.42% | 1-2 @ 3.84% (  -0.11) 0-1 @ 3.32% (  0.04) 0-2 @ 1.6% (  -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.48% (  -0.1) 1-3 @ 1.23% (  -0.08) Other @ 1.86% Total : 13.32% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 | 
| 2 | Barnet | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 38 | 22 | 16 | 42 | 
| 3 | Bromley | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 35 | 
| 4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 34 | 
| 5 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 29 | 
| 6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 28 | 
| 7 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 27 | 
| 8 | Gateshead | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 26 | 
| 9 | Rochdale | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 24 | 
| 10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 23 | 
| 11 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 23 | 
| 12 | Woking | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 | 
| 13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 22 | 
| 14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 21 | 
| 15 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 21 | 
| 16 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 20 | 
| 17 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 20 | 
| 18 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 19 | 
| 19 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 17 | 
| 20 | Fylde | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 16 | 
| 21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 16 | 
| 22 | York City | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 16 | 
| 23 | Oxford CityOxford City | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 14 | 
| 24 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 14 | 
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