
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 56.07%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 20.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.86%) and 0-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Dorking Wanderers win it was 1-0 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Rochdale | 
| 20.97% (  -0.01) | 22.96% (  -0) | 56.07% (  0.01) | 
| Both teams to score 53.33% (  -0) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 53.68% (  0) | 46.31% (  -0) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 31.4% (  0) | 68.6% (  -0) | 
| Dorking Wanderers Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 63.74% (  -0.01) | 36.25% (  0.01) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.96% (  -0.01) | 73.04% (  0.01) | 
| Rochdale Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 83.66% (  0) | 16.33% (  -0) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.07% (  0.01) | 45.93% (  -0.01) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Rochdale | 
| 1-0 @ 6.01% (  -0) 2-1 @ 5.52% (  -0) 2-0 @ 3.05% (  -0) 3-1 @ 1.87% (  -0) 3-2 @ 1.69% (  -0) 3-0 @ 1.03% (  -0) Other @ 1.8% Total : 20.97% | 1-1 @ 10.88% 0-0 @ 5.92% (  -0) 2-2 @ 5% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.95% | 0-1 @ 10.72% 1-2 @ 9.86% 0-2 @ 9.72% (  0) 1-3 @ 5.96% (  0) 0-3 @ 5.87% (  0) 2-3 @ 3.02% 1-4 @ 2.7% (  0) 0-4 @ 2.66% (  0) 2-4 @ 1.37% 1-5 @ 0.98% (  0) 0-5 @ 0.96% (  0) Other @ 2.24% Total : 56.06% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 | 
| 2 | Barnet | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 38 | 22 | 16 | 42 | 
| 3 | Bromley | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 35 | 
| 4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 34 | 
| 5 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 29 | 
| 6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 28 | 
| 7 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 27 | 
| 8 | Gateshead | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 26 | 
| 9 | Rochdale | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 24 | 
| 10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 23 | 
| 11 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 23 | 
| 12 | Woking | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 | 
| 13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 22 | 
| 14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 21 | 
| 15 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 21 | 
| 16 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 20 | 
| 17 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 20 | 
| 18 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 19 | 
| 19 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 17 | 
| 20 | Fylde | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 16 | 
| 21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 16 | 
| 22 | York City | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 16 | 
| 23 | Oxford CityOxford City | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 14 | 
| 24 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 14 | 
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