

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 38.87%. A win for Boreham Wood had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.11%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Boreham Wood win was 1-0 (10.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boreham Wood | Draw | Rochdale |
| 33.22% ( | 27.91% ( | 38.87% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.8% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.87% ( | 58.12% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.21% ( | 78.78% ( |
| Boreham Wood Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.38% ( | 32.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.84% ( | 69.16% ( |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.94% ( | 29.06% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.02% ( | 64.97% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Boreham Wood | Draw | Rochdale |
| 1-0 @ 10.61% ( 2-1 @ 7.35% ( 2-0 @ 5.95% ( 3-1 @ 2.75% ( 3-0 @ 2.22% ( 3-2 @ 1.7% ( Other @ 2.64% Total : 33.21% | 1-1 @ 13.12% ( 0-0 @ 9.48% ( 2-2 @ 4.54% ( Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.9% | 0-1 @ 11.71% ( 1-2 @ 8.11% ( 0-2 @ 7.24% ( 1-3 @ 3.34% ( 0-3 @ 2.98% ( 2-3 @ 1.87% ( 1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0-4 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 1.66% Total : 38.86% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
| 1 | S | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 |
| 2 | I | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 |
| 3 | S | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 |
| 4 | T | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 5 | R | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 36 | 21 | 15 | 38 |
| 2 | Barnet | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 19 | 13 | 35 |
| 3 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 30 |
| 4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 27 |
| 5 | Bromley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 26 |
| 6 | Gateshead | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 25 |
| 7 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 22 |
| 8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 21 |
| 9 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 21 |
| 10 | Rochdale | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 20 |
| 11 | Eastleigh | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 20 |
| 12 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 19 |
| 13 | Woking | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
| 14 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 18 |
| 15 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 16 |
| 16 | Ebbsfleet | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 16 |
| 17 | York City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 15 |
| 18 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 15 |
| 19 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 14 |
| 20 | Oxford CityOxford City | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 14 |
| 21 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 13 |
| 22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 13 |
| 23 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 13 |
| 24 | Fylde | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 9 |
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