Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 42.44%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 32.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dorking Wanderers | Draw | York City | 
| 32.85% (  -0.01) | 24.71% (  0) | 42.44% (  0.01) | 
| Both teams to score 57.96% (  -0.02) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 54.95% (  -0.03) | 45.05% (  0.03) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 32.6% (  -0.03) | 67.4% (  0.03) | 
| Dorking Wanderers Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 73.63% (  -0.02) | 26.37% (  0.02) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.48% (  -0.03) | 61.52% (  0.03) | 
| York City Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 78.72% (  -0.01) | 21.28% (  0.01) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.79% (  -0.01) | 54.21% (  0.02) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Dorking Wanderers | Draw | York City | 
| 2-1 @ 7.71% (  -0) 1-0 @ 7.48% (  0.01) 2-0 @ 4.99% 3-1 @ 3.43% (  -0) 3-2 @ 2.65% (  -0) 3-0 @ 2.22% (  -0) 4-1 @ 1.14% (  -0) Other @ 3.23% Total : 32.85% | 1-1 @ 11.57% 2-2 @ 5.97% (  -0) 0-0 @ 5.61% (  0.01) 3-3 @ 1.37% (  -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.71% | 1-2 @ 8.96% (  0) 0-1 @ 8.68% (  0.01) 0-2 @ 6.72% (  0) 1-3 @ 4.62% (  -0) 0-3 @ 3.47% (  0) 2-3 @ 3.08% (  -0) 1-4 @ 1.79% (  -0) 0-4 @ 1.34% (  0) 2-4 @ 1.19% (  -0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 42.44% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 27 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 68 | 34 | 34 | 68 | 
| 2 | Bromley | 28 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 49 | 29 | 20 | 56 | 
| 3 | Barnet | 28 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 57 | 40 | 17 | 55 | 
| 4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 46 | 
| 5 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 43 | 
| 6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 42 | 
| 7 | Rochdale | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 41 | 
| 8 | Gateshead | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 40 | 
| 9 | Halifax TownHalifax | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 40 | 
| 10 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 45 | 47 | -2 | 40 | 
| 11 | Eastleigh | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 37 | 
| 12 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 44 | 28 | 16 | 34 | 
| 13 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 33 | 
| 14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 32 | 
| 15 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 | 
| 16 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 28 | 9 | 4 | 15 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 31 | 
| 17 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 30 | 
| 18 | York City | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 30 | 
| 19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 28 | 
| 20 | Woking | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 27 | 
| 21 | Ebbsfleet | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 27 | 
| 22 | Fylde | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 25 | 
| 23 | Oxford CityOxford City | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 24 | 
| 24 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 28 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 20 | 
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