Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forfar Athletic win with a probability of 43.69%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 29.29% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forfar Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 1-0 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.