Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boreham Wood win with a probability of 47.05%. A win for York City had a probability of 27.96% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boreham Wood win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest York City win was 0-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boreham Wood | Draw | York City |
| 47.05% ( | 24.99% ( | 27.96% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.39% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.46% ( | 48.54% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.33% ( | 70.66% ( |
| Boreham Wood Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.33% ( | 20.67% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.75% ( | 53.25% ( |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.56% ( | 31.44% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.18% ( | 67.82% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Boreham Wood | Draw | York City |
| 1-0 @ 10.24% ( 2-1 @ 9.35% ( 2-0 @ 8.08% ( 3-1 @ 4.91% ( 3-0 @ 4.25% ( 3-2 @ 2.84% ( 4-1 @ 1.94% ( 4-0 @ 1.67% ( 4-2 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 2.66% Total : 47.05% | 1-1 @ 11.85% 0-0 @ 6.5% ( 2-2 @ 5.41% ( 3-3 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.98% | 0-1 @ 7.52% ( 1-2 @ 6.86% ( 0-2 @ 4.35% ( 1-3 @ 2.65% ( 2-3 @ 2.09% ( 0-3 @ 1.68% ( Other @ 2.83% Total : 27.96% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Notts County | 34 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 88 | 30 | 58 | 83 |
| 2 | Wrexham | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 83 | 30 | 53 | 78 |
| 3 | Woking | 33 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 58 | 36 | 22 | 61 |
| 4 | Chesterfield | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 54 | 38 | 16 | 55 |
| 5 | Barnet | 31 | 16 | 5 | 10 | 59 | 53 | 6 | 53 |
| 6 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 50 |
| 7 | Eastleigh | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 50 |
| 8 | Bromley | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 40 | 7 | 47 |
| 9 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 31 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 46 |
| 10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 45 |
| 11 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 45 |
| 12 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 42 |
| 13 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 42 |
| 14 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 47 | 56 | -9 | 38 |
| 15 | Halifax TownHalifax | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 37 |
| 16 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 36 |
| 17 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 35 |
| 18 | York City | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 33 |
| 19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 47 | 73 | -26 | 33 |
| 20 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 32 |
| 21 | Gateshead | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 32 |
| 22 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 29 |
| 23 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 38 | 63 | -25 | 26 |
| 24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 33 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 22 |
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