Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a York City win with a probability of 42.2%. A win for Maidenhead United has a probability of 32.03% and a draw has a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win is 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.23%).
| Result | ||
| York City | Draw | Maidenhead United | 
| 42.2% | 25.76% | 32.03% | 
| Both teams to score 54.12% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 50.09% | 49.91% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 28.1% | 71.9% | 
| York City Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 76.52% | 23.48% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.5% | 57.5% | 
| Maidenhead United Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 70.73% | 29.26% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.77% | 65.22% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| York City | Draw | Maidenhead United | 
| 1-0 @ 9.96% 2-1 @ 8.86% 2-0 @ 7.21% 3-1 @ 4.28% 3-0 @ 3.48% 3-2 @ 2.63% 4-1 @ 1.55% 4-0 @ 1.26% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.01% Total : 42.2% | 1-1 @ 12.23% 0-0 @ 6.87% 2-2 @ 5.45% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.75% | 0-1 @ 8.44% 1-2 @ 7.52% 0-2 @ 5.19% 1-3 @ 3.08% 2-3 @ 2.23% 0-3 @ 2.13% 1-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.51% Total : 32.03% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 27 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 68 | 34 | 34 | 68 | 
| 2 | Bromley | 28 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 49 | 29 | 20 | 56 | 
| 3 | Barnet | 28 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 57 | 40 | 17 | 55 | 
| 4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 46 | 
| 5 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 43 | 
| 6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 42 | 
| 7 | Rochdale | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 41 | 
| 8 | Gateshead | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 40 | 
| 9 | Halifax TownHalifax | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 40 | 
| 10 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 45 | 47 | -2 | 40 | 
| 11 | Eastleigh | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 37 | 
| 12 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 44 | 28 | 16 | 34 | 
| 13 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 33 | 
| 14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 32 | 
| 15 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 | 
| 16 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 28 | 9 | 4 | 15 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 31 | 
| 17 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 30 | 
| 18 | York City | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 30 | 
| 19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 28 | 
| 20 | Woking | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 27 | 
| 21 | Ebbsfleet | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 27 | 
| 22 | Fylde | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 25 | 
| 23 | Oxford CityOxford City | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 24 | 
| 24 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 28 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 20 | 
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