Primeira Liga | Gameweek 20
Feb 3, 2025 at 8.45pm UK
Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
Rio Ave2 - 2Porto
We said: Rio Ave 1-2 Porto
Rio Ave will feel they can take advantage of Porto's recent woes in front of goal and frustrate the visitors on Monday. However, Porto dominated the reverse fixture and must triumph if they are to have a realistic chance of winning the title, so it would not be surprising if the Portuguese giants found a way to win. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 66.63%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 13.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.48%) and 1-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-0 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rio Ave | Draw | Porto |
13.64% ( -1.71) | 19.72% ( -0.31) | 66.63% ( 2.02) |
| Both teams to score 48.83% ( -3.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
