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Europa League

Europa League | League Stage
Jan 30, 2025 at 8pm UK
Stadion Partizana
Porto

M. Tel Aviv
0 - 1
Porto

FT(HT: 0-0)
Gonzalez (58')
Moura (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Maccabi Tel Aviv and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Maccabi Tel Aviv

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 3-1 M. Tel Aviv
Thursday, January 23 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Porto

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Porto 1-1 Santa Clara
Sunday, January 26 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 40.51%. A win for Maccabi Tel Aviv had a probability of 35.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.99%) and 0-2 (6.16%). The likeliest Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 2-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Maccabi Tel AvivDrawPorto
35.05% (-0.537 -0.54)24.43% (-0.023999999999997 -0.02)40.51% (0.557 0.56)
Both teams to score 59.57% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.78% (0.019999999999996 0.02)43.21% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.39% (0.018000000000001 0.02)65.61% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Maccabi Tel Aviv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.79% (-0.29000000000001 -0.29)24.21% (0.286 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.45% (-0.411 -0.41)58.55% (0.407 0.41)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.6% (0.274 0.27)21.4% (-0.278 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.61% (0.424 0.42)54.39% (-0.428 -0.43)
Score Analysis
    Maccabi Tel Aviv 35.05%
    Porto 40.51%
    Draw 24.43%
Maccabi Tel AvivDrawPorto
2-1 @ 8.04% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
1-0 @ 7.35% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-0 @ 5.21% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.8% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.46% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.35% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 35.05%
1-1 @ 11.32% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.2% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 5.18% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.51% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.43%
1-2 @ 8.74% (0.065 0.06)
0-1 @ 7.99% (0.059 0.06)
0-2 @ 6.16% (0.097 0.1)
1-3 @ 4.49% (0.07 0.07)
2-3 @ 3.18% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.17% (0.076 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.73% (0.042 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.23% (0.019 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.22% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 40.51%

How you voted: M. Tel Aviv vs Porto

Maccabi Tel Aviv
19.7%
Draw
7.7%
Porto
72.5%
142
Head to Head
Nov 4, 2015 7.45pm
Group Stage
M. Tel Aviv
1-3
Porto
Zahavi (75' pen.)
Ben Harush (42'), Ben Haim (88')
Tello (19'), Andre (49'), Layun (72')
Pereira (74')
> Match Report
Oct 20, 2015 7.45pm
Group Stage
Porto
2-0
M. Tel Aviv
Aboubakar (37'), Brahimi (41')
Corona (22')

Micha (33'), Ben Haim (79'), Garcia (91')
> Match Report