Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 53.61%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 21.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.19%) and 1-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-0 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Porto |
21.67% (![]() | 24.72% (![]() | 53.61% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.91% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.32% (![]() | 52.68% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.68% (![]() | 74.32% (![]() |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.84% (![]() | 39.16% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.13% (![]() | 75.87% (![]() |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.4% (![]() | 19.6% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.45% (![]() | 51.55% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | Porto |
1-0 @ 7.2% (![]() 2-1 @ 5.5% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.37% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.72% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.4% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.05% ( ![]() Other @ 1.43% Total : 21.67% | 1-1 @ 11.72% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.68% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.48% ( ![]() Other @ 0.84% Total : 24.71% | 0-1 @ 12.5% (![]() 0-2 @ 10.19% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.56% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 5.54% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.19% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.43% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.26% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.11% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 2.84% Total : 53.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 24 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 64 | 21 | 43 | 56 |
2 | Benfica | 23 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 53 | 18 | 35 | 53 |
3 | Porto | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 49 | 19 | 30 | 50 |
4 | Braga | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 22 | 18 | 47 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 24 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 39 |
6 | Casa Pia | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 36 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 24 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 35 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 34 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 31 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 29 |
11 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 27 |
12 | Nacional | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 26 |
13 | AroucaArouca | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 25 |
14 | AVS | 24 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 20 | 34 | -14 | 23 |
15 | Gil Vicente | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 22 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 22 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 15 | 34 | -19 | 16 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 24 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 15 | 40 | -25 | 15 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |