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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Gil Vicente logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 18
Jan 19, 2025 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Cidade de Barcelos
Porto

Gil Vicente
3 - 1
Porto

Pablo (11'), Sa (53'), Correia (90+4' pen.)
Carlos (25'), Caseres (27'), Correia (39')
(44'), Gonzalez (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Borges (48')
Vieira (24'), Gonzalez (43'), Mario (55'), Loader (60'), Eustaquio (87'), Borges (90+11')
Omorodion (90+11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Gil Vicente and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-0 Moreirense
Sunday, January 12 at 7.45pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Nacional 2-0 Porto
Sunday, January 12 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Gil Vicente 1-2 Porto

Porto will be eager to respond after back-to-back defeats, and their superior firepower should give them the edge. Vicente have been resilient, but facing a team with one of the league's best defences and the Dragons' strong record at Barcelos makes a narrow away victory the likely outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 53.61%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 21.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.19%) and 1-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-0 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Gil VicenteDrawPorto
21.67% (-0.189 -0.19) 24.72% (0.056999999999999 0.06) 53.61% (0.133 0.13)
Both teams to score 48.91% (-0.405 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.32% (-0.415 -0.41)52.68% (0.416 0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.68% (-0.357 -0.36)74.32% (0.357 0.36)
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.84% (-0.42299999999999 -0.42)39.16% (0.425 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.13% (-0.401 -0.4)75.87% (0.402 0.4)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.4% (-0.10600000000001 -0.11)19.6% (0.106 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.45% (-0.17599999999999 -0.18)51.55% (0.178 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Gil Vicente 21.67%
    Porto 53.6%
    Draw 24.71%
Gil VicenteDrawPorto
1-0 @ 7.2% (0.035 0.04)
2-1 @ 5.5% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-0 @ 3.37% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.72% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.4% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.05% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 21.67%
1-1 @ 11.72% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.68% (0.126 0.13)
2-2 @ 4.48% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 24.71%
0-1 @ 12.5% (0.16 0.16)
0-2 @ 10.19% (0.1 0.1)
1-2 @ 9.56% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
0-3 @ 5.54% (0.034 0.03)
1-3 @ 5.19% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.43% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-4 @ 2.26% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.11% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-4 @ 0.99% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 53.6%

How you voted: Gil Vicente vs Porto

Gil Vicente
10.7%
Draw
10.7%
Porto
78.6%
28
Head to Head
Aug 10, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 1
Porto
3-0
Gil Vicente
Galeno (30' pen.), Jaime (59'), Loader (70' pen.)

Cruz (55'), Sa (87')
Cruz (76')
Feb 25, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 23
Gil Vicente
1-1
Porto
Luciano (90+4')
Toure (52'), Pinto (75'), Luciano (90+5')
Evanilson (55')
Mario (45+10'), Evanilson (45'), Conceicao (45'), Varela (45+6')
Sep 23, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 6
Porto
2-1
Gil Vicente
Jaime (8'), Eustaquio (90+1')
Conceicao (84'), Wendell (89')
Depu (37')
Carvalho Neto (14'), Gbane (69'), Correia (77')
Feb 26, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 22
Porto
1-2
Gil Vicente
Taremi (4')
Navarro (27'), Costa (45+2' pen.)
Dec 21, 2022 8.15pm
Quarter-Finals
Porto
2-0
Gil Vicente
Galeno (3'), Taremi (68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon24175264214356
2Benfica23172453183553
3Porto24155449193050
4Braga24145540221847
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara2412392524139
6Casa Pia2410683029136
7Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes2481153226635
8Estoril PraiaEstoril249783138-734
9FamalicaoFamalicao2471072726131
10Rio AveRio Ave247892739-1229
11MoreirenseMoreirense2476112936-727
12Nacional2475122332-926
13AroucaArouca2467112338-1525
14AVS2441192034-1423
15Gil Vicente2357112335-1222
16Estrela Amadora2457122035-1522
17SC FarenseFarense2437141534-1916
18BoavistaBoavista2436151540-2515


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