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Europa League

Porto
Europa League | League Stage
Dec 12, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Do Dragao
Midtjylland

Porto
2 - 0
Midtjylland

Loader (30'), Omorodion (56')
Loader (55')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bech Sorensen (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Porto and FC Midtjylland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Famalicao 1-1 Porto
Saturday, December 7 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

FC Midtjylland

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Vejle 0-3 Midtjylland
Sunday, December 1 at 3pm in Danish Superliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 63.35%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for FC Midtjylland had a probability of 17.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.75%) and 1-0 (7.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.59%), while for a FC Midtjylland win it was 1-2 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
PortoDrawFC Midtjylland
63.35% (0.138 0.14)19.2% (0.042999999999999 0.04)17.46% (-0.184 -0.18)
Both teams to score 60.18% (-0.558 -0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.64% (-0.54600000000001 -0.55)34.36% (0.544 0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.72% (-0.619 -0.62)56.28% (0.615 0.62)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.64% (-0.123 -0.12)10.36% (0.12 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.15% (-0.279 -0.28)33.85% (0.276 0.28)
FC Midtjylland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.13% (-0.532 -0.53)32.87% (0.529 0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.56% (-0.6 -0.6)69.44% (0.596 0.6)
Score Analysis
    Porto 63.35%
    FC Midtjylland 17.46%
    Draw 19.2%
PortoDrawFC Midtjylland
2-1 @ 9.74% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.75% (0.153 0.15)
1-0 @ 7.72% (0.175 0.18)
3-1 @ 7.36% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.61% (0.082 0.08)
4-1 @ 4.17% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-2 @ 4.09% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-0 @ 3.75% (0.027 0.03)
4-2 @ 2.32% (-0.051 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.89% (-0.023 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.7% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-2 @ 1.05% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 4.18%
Total : 63.35%
1-1 @ 8.59% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.42% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-0 @ 3.41% (0.094 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.52% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 19.2%
1-2 @ 4.78% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-1 @ 3.79% (0.052 0.05)
0-2 @ 2.11% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.77% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 3%
Total : 17.46%

How you voted: Porto vs Midtjylland

Porto
84.8%
Draw
9.8%
FC Midtjylland
5.4%
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