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Europa League

Anderlecht
Europa League | League Stage
Nov 28, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Lotto Park
Porto

Anderlecht
2 - 2
Porto

Degreef (52'), Amuzu (86')
Ndiaye (28')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Galeno (24' pen.), Vieira (83')
Bruno (30'), Mario (34'), Gonzalez (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Anderlecht and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Anderlecht

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Anderlecht 6-0 Gent
Sunday, November 24 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League

Porto

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Moreirense 2-1 Porto
Sunday, November 24 at 5pm in Taca de Portugal

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 37.74%. A win for Anderlecht had a probability of 35.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Anderlecht win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
AnderlechtDrawPorto
35.95% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)26.3% (0.004999999999999 0)37.74% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 53.19% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.51% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)51.49% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.7% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)73.29% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Anderlecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.41% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)27.58% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.89% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)63.11% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.45% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)26.54% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.24% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)61.75% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Anderlecht 35.95%
    Porto 37.74%
    Draw 26.29%
AnderlechtDrawPorto
1-0 @ 9.43% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-1 @ 8.06% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 6.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.46% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 2.61% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 35.95%
1-1 @ 12.5%
0-0 @ 7.32% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.29%
0-1 @ 9.71% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 8.3% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 6.44% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.85% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.22% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 37.74%

How you voted: Anderlecht vs Porto

Anderlecht
43.0%
Draw
19.2%
Porto
37.8%
172
rhs 2.0
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