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Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, October 20 at 5pm in Taca de Portugal
for
Saturday, October 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 71.04%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.44%) and 3-1 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.83%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (3.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Hoffenheim |
71.04% ( -0.66) | 15.97% ( 0.14) | 13% ( 0.52) |
| Both teams to score 61.29% ( 1.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.05% ( 0.74) | 27.95% ( -0.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.32% ( 0.92) | 48.68% ( -0.92) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93% ( 0.05) | 7% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.39% ( 0.13) | 25.61% ( -0.14) |
| Hoffenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.9% ( 1.28) | 34.1% ( -1.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.21% ( 1.35) | 70.79% ( -1.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Porto | Draw | Hoffenheim |
| 2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.44% ( -0.33)3-1 @ 8.05% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.48% ( -0.27)1-0 @ 6.35% ( -0.27)4-1 @ 5.35% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.14)4-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.1)5-1 @ 2.85% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.08)5-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.06)6-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.03)4-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.61% Total : 71.04% | 1-1 @ 6.83% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.15)0-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.31% Total : 15.97% | 1-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 2.57% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.31% Total : 13% |
How you voted: Porto vs Hoffenheim
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