Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17
Jan 12, 2025 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio da Madeira
Nacional2 - 0Porto
We said: Nacional 0-2 Porto
Porto have been rampant in the league this season, and it is difficult to see how Nacional hold out against the visitors' strong attack. However, the hosts have at least been competitive at home this term, and they could at times frustrate their opponents, though Porto should undoubtedly come into the clash as favourites. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 69.21%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 12.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.04%) and 1-2 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.81%), while for a Nacional win it was 1-0 (4.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Porto |
12.27% ( -0.03) | 18.52% ( -0.03) | 69.21% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 48.8% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
