Primeira Liga | Gameweek 16
Dec 29, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
Rio Ave2 - 1Nacional
We said: Rio Ave 1-0 Nacional
Rio Ave and Nacional have struggled for consistency this season and find themselves scrambling for points in the bottom half of the table heading into the midway point of the season. However, the Vilacondenses have proven tough to crack at home this season and we predict that they will come away with the desired results, albeit by the odd goal. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 48.86%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 25.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (7.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rio Ave would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rio Ave | Draw | Nacional |
48.86% ( 0.36) | 25.62% ( 0) | 25.52% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 50.45% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
