Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo La Guaira win with a probability of 41.25%. A win for Caracas had a probability of 31.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo La Guaira win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Caracas win was 0-1 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.